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Dillon Overton: Prospect Profile for Oakland Athletics' 2nd-Round Pick

June 3, 2012; Charlottesville, VA, USA; Oklahoma Sooners pitcher Dillon Overton (13) pitches in the first inning of game five of the Charlottesville regional at Davenport Field against the Virginia Cavaliers.  Mandatory Credit: Kyle Laferriere-USA TODAY Sports
Kyle Laferriere-USA TODAY Sports
Zachary BallAnalyst IJanuary 3, 2017

Player: Dillon Overton

Drafted by: Oakland Athletics (No. 63 Overall)

Position: LHP

DOB: 8/17/1991 (Age: 21) 

Height/Weight: 6’2”/175 lbs.

Bats/Throws: L/L

School: Oklahoma

Previously Drafted: 26th round by Red Sox in 2010

 

Background

Believe it or not, it was Overton and not Jonathan Gray who entered the season as the top draft prospect on Oklahoma's roster. Despite his diminutive stature, Overton has had no problem matching Gray pitch for pitch during his time at OU.

He's won 22 games during his time with the Sooners, improving his stock and guaranteeing he'll go higher than his previous selection back in 2010.

After starting the 2013 season as OU's Friday night starter, Overton has taken a backseat to the Jon Gray show. He has responded well and put together the most complete season of his career while showing improved stuff and pitchability.

 

Full Scouting Report

Note: Numerical scores are on the conventional 80-point scouting scale, with the current score first and projected score second.

Body/Mechanics: 

The track record for pitchers his size isn't that promising, but teams will be pleased to discover he has more meat on his bones than the 160 pounds he's listed at on the team website. More "lean" than "lanky," Overton possesses slightly above-average athleticism.

He has an easy delivery with very little unnecessary movement. Does have a pretty high leg kick. He's quick to the plate and the ball comes out of his hand really easily.

Due to his effortless delivery, injuries shouldn't be a concern.

 

Fastball: 55/65

While Overton doesn't possess a fastball capable of hitting triple digits, a la Jon Gray, he does just fine with his own offering; sits comfortably in the 88-93 mph range; has no problems throwing strikes with fastball; has good command of the pitch; not much movement on the pitch; doesn't spend much time over 91 mph after the fourth or fifth innings; struggles maintaining velocity, especially in non-ideal weather conditions.

 

Slider: 50/55

Best weapon not named his fastball; good break; same delivery as on fastball, which helps make pitch even more effective; good command of the pitch, can throw for strikes when he needs to in any count; usually uses pitch to set up hitters; no real makings of an out pitch.

 

Changeup: 40/55

Looks great one inning and below average the next; lacks consistency to be a useful weapon at the next level; has the makings of an above-average offering; will likely have to sideline the pitch in order to focus on sharpening his slider once he makes the jump to the professional level; has potential to become Overton's out pitch.

 

Control: 65/65

Great feel for his fastball and slider; feel for changeup is lacking, but to be expected considering it's far and away his last option; definitely not a nibbler; attacks the strike zone; development of changeup will be key to his success as a starter; fastball-slider combination would allow him to succeed as a reliever if changeup fails to come along.

 

Command: 60/65

Command of fastball is top-notch; slider has improved greatly from his freshman and sophomore campaigns; changeup command is severely lacking; often gets strikeouts from changeup even when it doesn't look like he knows where it's going to land.

 

MLB Player Comparison: Miguel Gonzalez

 

Projection: No. 3 starter on a second-division team; No. 4 or 5 on first-division team.

 

MLB ETA: 2015

 

Chances of Signing: 90%

While Jon Gray screams "high risk, high reward," Overton's going to get drafted pretty high because he's a proven commodity and one of the safest pitchers in this year's class.

As such, he'll likely sign for around slot money, possibly even below, making him even more appealing to teams wanting to spend more in the later rounds.

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