Preakness Odds 2013: How to Bet Long Shots at Pimlico

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Preakness Odds 2013: How to Bet Long Shots at Pimlico
Jamie Rhodes-USA TODAY Sports

Betting on long shots is sometimes the most exciting—and potentially lucrative—way to play the ponies.

However, it’s extremely risky and tough to turn a profit in major races, especially those with small fields—which is what the 2013 Preakness Stakes boasts.

Regardless, there are a handful of decent horses to consider throwing down a small bet on, as they could pay dividends on Saturday.

Let’s take a look at these dark horses and their latest odds.

 

The Longest Shot: Titletown Five at 28-1

Fans of NFL football—and history—are going to love this long shot.

Titletown Five is co-owned by former Green Bay Packers legends Paul Hornung and Willie Davis, who won numerous championships as players in the 1960s, but they don’t have a real winner on their hands here.

In seven starts, Titletown has crossed the finish line just one time ahead of the pack. That came all the way back in October of last year, when he won a maiden special weight and finally broke through.

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Since then, this colt has a second-place finish at Gazebo and a pitiful ninth-place showing at the Derby Trial.

Because he couldn’t make the somewhat lousy 19-horse field at Churchill Downs, approach Titletown Five with extreme caution. He’s not a winner and isn’t in the same class as Orb or these other elite horses.

Had there actually been some competition to enter the Preakness this year, it’s doubtful Titletown Five would even be in the field. Stay away here, as the risk far outweighs the chances of a reward.

Advice: Do not bet. 


Might Hit the Board: Itsmyluckyday at 12-1

Itsmyluckyday drew the No. 9 post at the Preakness, which is the furthest stall from the rail possible. While that is desirable for some thoroughbreds, it does not suit this colt well.

He was stuck on the outside in the slop under the Twin Spires two weeks ago and finished in 15th place. Elvis Trujillo just couldn’t navigate his mount to the right position and was forced to expend his energy in the early going.

However, with less commotion on the track and better conditions expected at Pimlico this weekend, there’s a solid chance that this horse makes a huge stride forward and finishes near the front of the pack.

With just 9.5 furlongs from start to finish, Itsmyluckyday should be able to capitalize on his pure speed and make his run when it counts—down the stretch.

Don’t be surprised when he’s in a photo for a place or show on Saturday.

Advice: Bet to show.


Serious Contender: Govenor Charlie: 10-1

Govenor Charlie is another new face that didn’t compete in the Run for the Roses—but not because his lacking body of work.

This colt set a track record at the Sunland Derby this year and was in consideration all week before withdrawing from the Kentucky Derby. That scratch was due to a foot bruise suffered in April.

Now that he’s 100 percent healthy, Govenor Charlie is going to make a serious push to challenge Orb for the Blanket of Black-Eyed Susans.

He’s a bit inexperienced—with just three races under his belt—but this horse has hit the board in each, with two wins and a place.

That winning pedigree is something bettors should certainly factor in—especially when you consider the rest of the field’s prep record and Derby showings.

Govenor Charlie has the speed and stamina to hang with Orb and there’s a great shot that they are neck-and-neck at the finish line in Baltimore.

Advice: Bet to place. 

 

Post Positions and Odds

Post

Horse

Jockey

Trainer

Odds

1

Orb

Joel Rosario

Shug McGaughey

10-11

2

Goldencents

Kevin Krigger

Doug O’Neill

8-1

3

Titletown Five 

Julien Leparoux 

D. Wayne Lukas 

28-1

4

Departing 

Brian Hernandez Jr.

Albert M. Stall, Jr.

13-2

5

Mylute 

Rosie Napravnik 

Tom Amoss 

6-1

6

Oxbow 

Gary Stevens 

D. Wayne Lukas 

16-1

7

Will Take Charge 

Mike Smith 

D. Wayne Lukas 

12-1

8

Govenor Charlie 

Martin Garcia 

Bob Baffert 

10-1

9

Itsmyluckyday 

John Velazquez 

Eddie Plesa Jr. 

12-1

*Info via Bovada.lv

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