The Preakness, at least more so than the other two legs of the Triple Crown, tends to go according to plan.
Just check out the recent history, according to Lane Gold of ESPN (and several other things).
Moreover, nine of the last 21 favorites at Pimlico have crossed the finish line first, and 16 of the 21 winners have done it at 4-1 odds or better.
If you want to see if Orb, who is looking to become the first horse in 34 years to win the Triple Crown, can continue that trend, what follows is a look at where you can watch the 138th Run for the Black-Eyed Susans, along with everything else you need to know about the race.
Where: Pimlico Race Course, Baltimore, Md.
When: Saturday, May 18, at 6:20 p.m. ET
Post Time: 6:20 p.m. ET
Purse: $1 million
Television: NBC Sports Network
Post Positions and Odds
Note: Odds courtesy of KY Derby Contenders on Twitter
|1||Orb||Joel Rosario ||
Shug McGaughey ||1-1|
Goldencents ||Kevin Krigger ||Doug O’Neill ||8-1|
|3||Titletown Five||Julien Leparoux||D. Wayne Lukas||30-1|
|4||Departing||Brian Hernandez Jr||Albert M. Stall, Jr||6-1|
|5||Mylute||Rosie Napravnik||Tom Amoss||5-1|
|6||Oxbow||Gary Stevens||D. Wayne Lukas||15-1|
|7||Will Take Charge||Mike Smith||D. Wayne Lukas||12-1|
|8||Govenor Charlie||Martin Garcia||Bob Baffert||12-1|
|9||Itsmyluckyday||John Velazquez||Eddie Plesa Jr. ||10-1
Being on the rail isn't ideal for Orb both from a strategic standpoint—he came from the outside to win both the Kentucky Derby and Florida Derby—and a historical standpoint—since 1960, only two horses have won from the inside position.
There's no need to worry about the latter, though (via Sports Illustrated's Tim Layden):
Orb: Preakness rail history barely applies. Average odds from No. 1 PP since 1994: 36-1. No favorites. One horse under 10-1. #preakness— Tim Layden (@SITimLayden) May 15, 2013
And the former shouldn't really scare you off, either. Yes, Orb thrives working in space on the outside, but with a small field (just nine horses), he will be able to easily drop behind at the beginning and make a move out to where he likes it.
That may seem like a difficult task, and with a track that is a full furlong shorter than the Kentucky Derby, it will take a perfect race.
But Joel Rosario is the jockey most capable of doing just that.
The 28-year-old ran an absolutely perfect ride at Churchill Downs, won the Dubai World Cup earlier this year and is absolutely on fire right now.
Who will win?
Combine arguably the world's most scorching jockey with a crazy-talented horse that has won its last five races, and you have an all-star tandem that will continue its Triple Crown run on Saturday.
Of course, at 1-1 odds, you aren't really maximizing your bet.
If you want a value pick, go with Oxbow. He is led by a Hall of Fame jockey-trainer combo in Gary Stevens and D. Wayne Lukas and is coming off an encouraging sixth-place finish at the Kentucky Derby.