Preakness 2013: Horses to Avoid Betting on at Pimlico

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Preakness 2013: Horses to Avoid Betting on at Pimlico
Rob Carr/Getty Images

As the 138th running of the Preakness Stakes approaches, the gumption to gamble has diminished somewhat with the news of Orb entering as the prohibitive, even-money favorite.

However, there are several horses projected to land outside the top three by oddsmakers that should be particularly discouraged from wagering on. Two were considered contenders at the Kentucky Derby before falling well short, and another is a horse simply a cut below the rest of the field.

Let's take a look at the complete field and each horse's odds, then analyze which ones should be stay-away betting propositions at Pimlico Race Course on Saturday.

Note: All information, odds and statistics, unless otherwise indicated, are courtesy of Preakness.com.


Post Positions and Odds

Post No.

Horse

Trainer

Jockey

Odds

1

Orb

Shug McGaughey

Joel Rosario

1-1

2

Goldencents

Doug O'Neill

Kevin Krigger

8-1

3

Titletown Five

D. Wayne Lukas

Julien Leparoux

30-1

4

Departing

Albert M. Stall Jr.

Brian Hernandez Jr.

6-1

5

Mylute

Tom Amoss

Rosie Napravnik

5-1

6

Oxbow

D. Wayne Lukas

Gary Stevens

15-1

7

Will Take Charge

D. Wayne Lukas

Mike Smith

12-1

8

Govenor Charlie

Bob Baffert

Martin Garcia

12-1

9

Itsmyluckyday

Eddie Plesa Jr.

John Velazquez

10-1

*Odds via KY Derby Contenders on Twitter, as of 7 p.m. ET, May 15


Goldencents (8-1)

Rob Carr/Getty Images

The storyline is wonderful—Kevin Krigger could become the first black jockey since 1898 to capture the second jewel of the Triple Crown. However, with the way his horse ran at Churchill Downs, it's difficult to justify him even in an across the board bet.

Goldencents was heavily relied on in many betting pools in Louisville, only to be completely thwarted by traffic to finish in 17th.

Part of that was due to Krigger easing up when victory was clearly not realistic anymore. It's still a bit of a shock, though, that Goldencents wound up as the No. 4 contender according to the morning line.

Doug O'Neill saw his pupil I'll Have Another capture the first two legs of the Triple Crown last year, but that didn't exactly bode well for Goldencents' bid at history in front of his hometown crowd.

A shorter track and less traffic will give Goldencents a better opportunity to succeed here. There are better bargains to be had elsewhere in the wagering pools, though, and the colt has already come up small on the big stage before.

 

Itsmyluckyday (10-1)

Harry How/Getty Images

John Velazquez may be a Hall of Fame jockey, but his performance aboard Verrazano in the Kentucky Derby was not exactly up to his significant standards, as the horse came in 14th.

Verrazano did suffer an injury during the race, but perhaps more importantly, Velaquez himself suffered his own physical ailments when he fell off during a training session, chipping the radius bone in his right wrist and hurting a rib.

That spill came just one day Velazquez rode Verrazano to a massive win in the Wood Memorial Stakes. Even before the gash that Verrazano suffered, neither the jockey nor the horse were themselves that day.

It remains to be seen if Velazquez fares better this time around, but Itsmyluckyday only managed a 15th-place effort in the Kentucky Derby.

Starting on the very outside post will be somewhat advantageous with far fewer competitors, yet it's not the wisest of bets to take a flier on.

 

Titletown Five (30-1)

Andy Lyons/Getty Images
D. Wayne Lukas has horses in the Preakness field that are far better bargains than Titletown Five.

It may be pure logic to stay away from the longest shot in the field, but crazier things have happened.

After all, Golden Soul began the Kentucky Derby tied for the longest odds at 50-1 in the morning line, and wound up finishing in second place.

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Similar magic is not about to happen for Titletown Five, though. Hall of Fame trainer D. Wayne Lukas has two other horses in the Preakness mix in Will Take Charge and Oxbow—both are better bets than Titletown Five.

This colt raced at Churchill Downs—not in the Derby, but in the Grade III Derby trial, where he finished fourth and didn't qualify for the main event. Jockey Julien Leparoux already had his work cut out for him, and he only rode Java's War to 13th during the Most Exciting Two Minutes in Sports.

If Titletown Five were to somehow enter the winner's circle, it would be among the biggest upsets ever. Tread with caution and at your own risk, but of the crazy chances to take, this horse owned by Green Bay Packers greats Paul Hornung and Willie Davis won't net a title on this occasion.

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