Andrew Wiggins Decision: Final Odds on Which School No. 1 Recruit Will Pick
Andrew Wiggins' announcement is set for Tuesday, and that leaves one last crazy day of the guessing game we've been playing for months.
Whichever school the No. 1 recruit for 2013 picks, get ready for its fans to tell you we should have seen the signs and known all along.
The be quite honest, nobody really knows where Wiggins is headed, but that hasn't stopped us from offering up predictions. So, let's give the odds for each team one final time.
Kansas' Odds: 5 to 1
The Jayhawks seem to be in a lot of these races for the top-ranked recruits, but Bill Self has become used to being the runner-up, particularly when Kentucky is involved.
The Wildcats already got Julius Randle, a player that Kansas was thought to have a good chance of landing. The one top-tier guy that Kansas has won over in recent years is Josh Selby.
In the last five years of recruiting, Kansas has signed just one player in Rivals.com's top five (Selby in 2010) while Kentucky has nine over that same time span.
It hasn't exactly worked out poorly for Self, as he has signed some lower-profile guys who have developed and become studs. But if Wiggins is going to go with one of the Big Three (Kansas, Kentucky or North Carolina), recent history is against the Jayhawks.
North Carolina's Odds: 4 to 1
If the reason Wiggins waited so long was to see who was staying and who was leaving for the NBA, then North Carolina should have a good shot.
Two of the Tar Heels' best three players stayed in school, and the one who left, Reggie Bullock, just so happens to play the same position as Wiggins.
The Heels have some nice talent returning—the best of the four schools—and adding Wiggins could be what they need to become a title contender.
That would be desirable for any player.
Kentucky's Odds: 3 to 1
If all we have to go off is reading between the lines, then at least one aspect of this chase favors Kentucky. John Calipari got an in-house visit, but Wiggins canceled the other three he had scheduled because he claimed he was spent from his All-Star tour.
His reasoning was understandable, but it also gave UK fans some hope, as it should. There's a reason Calipari seems to win these races more often than not. The guy could talk a polar bear into moving to the desert.
The one thing going against Kentucky, as well as Kansas and North Carolina, is that Wiggins reportedly does not love attention. In Lexington, he would be playing for one of the most popular college basketball programs in the nation.
Florida State's Odds: 2 to 1
That's Mitchell Wiggins in the picture. He's Andrew's father, and he played his college ball at Florida State.
Andrew's mother, Marita Payne-Wiggins, ran track at FSU. His high school teammate, Xavier Rathan-Mayes, has already signed with the Seminoles.
Head coach Leonard Hamilton has some pretty important parties who would like the best player in the 2013 class to end up in Tallahassee.
No one would blame Wiggins for going elsewhere, and his brother is at Wichita State, which could benefit Kansas because of the proximity. But since Wiggins hasn't given us many clues, betting on family and friends would be a smart move.
That's my prediction. Feel free to tell me how wrong I am on Tuesday.