The Grade Two Peter Pan appears to be a two-horse battle between Declan's Warrior, trained by Nicholas Zito, and Battier racing for the first time for trainer Todd Pletcher.
Declan's Warrior has three wins in four career starts and is coming off a sensational win in his last start, winning the Grade 3 Bay Shore at Aqueduct on April 6. The horse has pedigree for an off track, which could be the case for the feature race on Saturday. Declan's Warrior worked a solid 48 flat over the training track at Saratoga on May 4.
Battier is 8-1 in the Daily Racing Form, and I absolutely love this horse. In his last race, Battier stalked a fast early pace and easily won in 1:35.3 for eight furlongs. Joel Rosario, the Kentucky Derby-winning jockey, picks up this mount, and he should be full of energy in the stretch.
Abraham has turned in two disappointing efforts in a row but is very dangerous. John Velazquez returns to ride this horse, and Abraham worked a beautiful 47.3 over the main course at Churchill Downs on May 4. A solid start will be vital for this Todd Pletcher-trained horse.
Incognito is a horse that must be used in any exotic wagering, as his form has dramatically improved lately. After two poor starts to begin his career, Incognito has run well in his last three, winning two of them. A solid Beyer for an off track and a nice bullet work of 47.2 over the main track at Belmont on May 4 has me believing he could hit the board.
Go Get the Basil is my long shot special in this race, even though he struggled in his last start, losing by over 13 lengths. Despite that loss, this horse should rebound nicely, especially since he has a win over the main track at Belmont and is losing seven pounds off his last race. Don't be shocked if he goes off at least 30-1 and finishes third or fourth.
In the end, Saint Vigeur should have the lead early, especially if Abraham struggles from the gate again. Battier, Declan's Warrior and Incognito should all be relatively close to the lead, as all prefer to stalk. Declan's Warrior will hold off Battier and Incognito in 1:50.94 to win the $200,000 Grade 2 Peter Pan.