Robert Guerrero has earned his stripes in the ring, especially after the slugfest he got into with Andre Berto in November, but Floyd Mayweather Jr. is the best boxer on the planet.
That's why Guerrero must test Mayweather early on Saturday night after a long layoff.
It's no secret that it's been a rough training camp for Mayweather leading up to the bout. He hasn't fought since defeating Miguel Cotto last May. According to USA Today, there was puffiness under his eyes this week, displaying some of the effects of his training.
Mayweather responded, via the USA Today report:
"I've had some good work for this camp. (My sparring partners) have been pushing me to the limit. I've had bad days in the boxing gym (before) but I've never had bad paydays."
Guerrero can't expect to win on the scorecards at the MGM Grand in Las Vegas if he tries to outwit Mayweather and pick his spots. He's not as tactical or experienced as the boxing great, nor does he have the defense.
But the 30-year-old does have two distinct advantages. One, he's younger than the 36-year-old Mayweather. Two, he has a chance to get to Mayweather early when Money May is still a bit rusty.
We saw against Berto how dangerous Guerrero can be (both of Berto's eyes were swollen shut after the fight). He's a powerful fighter with a brawler's mentality. It's easier said than done getting through Mayweather's defense, but Guerrero stands the best chance to do so in the early rounds. In that regard, it would be somewhat of a surprise if Guerrero wasn't aggressive right away.
Guerrero also can't worry about punching himself out and getting tired down the stretch. He has to go at Mayweather with the same ferocity he displayed against Berto. If Mayweather's defense ends up slowing down his punches in the later rounds, so be it, but Guerrero can't let the possibility of that change his strategy.
Guerrero has an opening very few of Mayweather's opponents are blessed with: He's fighting a Mayweather who may come out a little rusty. He must take advantage of this.
If he doesn't, there's little to no chance he defeats the undefeated great.