Kentucky Derby Odds: Underdogs Worth Backing Today

Mike Hoag@MikeHoagJrCorrespondent IIMay 4, 2013

LOUISVILLE, KY - MAY 01:  Overanalyze trained by Todd Pletcher runs on the track during the morning training for the 2013 Kentucky Derby at Churchill Downs on May 1, 2013 in Louisville, Kentucky.  (Photo by Andy Lyons/Getty Images)
Andy Lyons/Getty Images

Favorites and underdogs for the 2013 Kentucky Derby odds are nearly set, but they won't tell us anything. We still have to wait until the 6:24 (ET) start time to see who will capture the 139th annual Run for the Roses.

As always we’ll look back and think about why we ignored the signs of an underdog horse that performs much better than the betting experts thought.

There are 19 horses that have been bred for this very day. They are trained by the finest trainers and mounted by the best jockeys in the sport.

Favorites have only won the Derby in three of the last 10 races at Churchill Downs. If you weren’t looking for an underdog to put money on, you should be now.

That’s why discounting any one of these fine horses is a disservice to you. It’s not too late to place a wager and take a risk on one of these dark horses. 

Take this last-minute look at some of these underdogs that are worth giving a shot at Churchill Downs.



Updated Odds for Field (Current as of 5:50 p.m. ET)

Post Horse Odds
1 Black Onyx SCR
2 Oxbow 23-1
3 Revolutionary 5-1
4 Golden Soul 30-1
5 Normandy Invasion 8-1
6 Mylute 13-1
7 Giant Finish 35-1
8 Goldencents 7-1
9 Overanalyze 14-1
10 Palace Malice 22-1
11 Lines of Battle 32-1
12 Itsmyluckyday 8-1
13 Falling Sky 36-1
14 Verrazano 9-1
15 Charming Kitten 30-1
16 Orb 7-1
17 Will Take Charge 33-1
18 Frac Daddy 22-1
19 Java's War 25-1
20 Vyjack 27-1

Betting info. courtesy of Live Odds.



Will Take Charge (33-1)

Will Take Charge is more of a long shot than an underdog at the Kentucky Derby. However, betting against a miracle worker like Hall-of-Fame trainer D. Wayne Lukas may end up surprising us all.

Lukas has a combined 13 Triple Crown wins and has produced two long-shot winners at the Derby during his accomplished career.

His horse is in an unfavorable starting outside post position. However, he is well rested and coming off a win in his last race in March at the Rebel Stakes.


Overanalyze (14-1)

Overanalyze is one of five horses that Hall-of-Fame trainer Todd Pletcher will field in the 2013 Kentucky Derby. He will begin at the No. 9 post position.

In seven career races, Pletcher’s colt has won four of the seven outright, including the recent Arkansas Derby at Oaklawn Park.


Oxbow (23-1)

Oxbow has the pedigree and support to be a top performer at the Kentucky Derby. He is trained by Lukas and is mounted by three-time Derby-winning jockey Gary Stevens.

Stevens has the advantage of starting from the No. 2 post position. He also has the bonus of having a clear path to the rail after Black Onyx (Post position No. 1) was scratched.

Oxbow is a strong runner that could get out to a big early lead and not look back.


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