Projecting Kentucky Derby 2013 Winner from Exciting Field of Horses

Tyler Brooke@TylerDBrookeSenior Analyst IIMay 4, 2013

LOUISVILLE, KY - MAY 01:  Exercise rider Humberto Zamora rides Kentucky Derby hopeful Verrazano during morning training in preparation for the 2013 Kentucky Derby at Churchill Downs on May 1, 2013 in Louisville, Kentucky.  (Photo by Rob Carr/Getty Images)
Rob Carr/Getty Images

There are plenty of exciting horses in the field at Churchill Downs on Saturday, but there can only be one winner. 

Seriously, there are a number of horses that have legitimate shots to take home the Kentucky Derby title this year.  With so many big names this year, let’s attempt to project the winner along with the place and show for the 2013 Kentucky Derby.

Note: All odds are provided by 


Show: Oxbow (30-1 odds)

Sure, the odds aren’t on Oxbow’s side, but this horse has some serious potential to get on the board Saturday.

Difficult post positions and unfortunate trips have hurt Oxbow in his past few races.  Even though he has only been on the board once in his last three races, he has shown that he can rally from these mistakes to finish respectably.

D. Wayne Lukas, Oxbow’s trainer, knows a thing or two about winning at Churchill Downs.  He has four Kentucky Derby titles from 1988, 1995, 1996 and 1999.  He continues to have faith in Oxbow, and it’s hard to question a man with four titles in this race.

Oxbow has been the recipient of some bad luck, but he is certainly a solid horse.  With some good luck for a change, he can get on the board once again.


Place: Orb (7-2 odds)

A hot streak gives Orb the best odds on Saturday, and for good reason.

With four straight wins dating back to last November, Orb is clearly one of the hottest horses in racing right now.  He seems to be hitting his peak at the perfect time, and that’s just what you want heading into the first leg of the Triple Crown.

With the potential of a muddy and sloppy track, Orb will likely thrive while others will struggle.  He has been bred to handle more difficult footing and sloppy conditions, so an off track will only help Orb’s chances.

Things are in place for Orb to do well, but the favorites aren’t always the winners, particularly in the Derby, with a favorite not winning in the past five years.


Win: Verrazano (4-1 odds)

There are horses that are hot, and then there are horses that haven’t lost like Verrazano.

Verrazano has won each of his first four races of his career, including the Wood Memorial in early April.  The famous Todd Pletcher has been training with the young colt, and such a successful trainer like him knows what he’s doing when working with a horse like Verrazano.

By coming out of the No. 14 gate, Verrazano is in great position in this race.  He will have a bit of space coming out, and that extra space will go a long way in getting an advantage in the first few strides.

The undefeated streak will continue for Verrazano.  A great trainer combined with an undefeated streak and a great position out of the gate make for a winning formula.  If you’re looking for a horse to bet on, there isn’t a better bet than Verrazano.