Mayweather vs. Guerrero Odds: Overview of Saturday's Major Bout

Ethan Grant@DowntownEGAnalyst IMay 3, 2013

LAS VEGAS, NV - MAY 01:  Boxers Floyd Mayweather Jr. (L) and Robert Guerrero pose during the final news conference for their bout at the MGM Grand Hotel/Casino on May 1, 2013 in Las Vegas, Nevada. Mayweather will defend his WBC welterweight title against Guerrero.  (Photo by Jeff Bottari/Getty Images)
Jeff Bottari/Getty Images

On Saturday, Robert "The Ghost" Guerrero will get a shot at the champ.

Floyd Mayweather will be waiting in his corner at the MGM Grand, eager to prove that his year-long layoff from boxing following a minor prison sentence won't be enough to keep him from going 44-0 in his professional boxing career.

It's a fight that's being billed as "May Day."

Mayweather is also billing it another way (via Twitter):

The five-division champion will look to leave another fighter in his undefeated wake on Saturday, while the four-division challenger will attempt to be the first fighter in 44 chances to take down both Mayweather's ego and the zero on the right side of his career record.

The Money Team is nearly a 1/5 favorite to take this fight outright, while Guerrero comes in with an unfavorable Vegas number of 7/1 (odds via Bovada). You won't want to miss Mayweather's return or Guerrero's shot on Saturday, and we've got you prepped with some odds, information and a fight overview below.

The Current Math

Bet Odds
12 rounds (distance) -260 yes, +200 no
11.5 Rounds o/u -280o, +190u
7.5 Rounds o/u -750o,  +400u
Mayweather by KO, TKO or DQ +260
Mayweather by Decision -200
Guerrero by KO, TKO or DQ +700
Guerrero by Decision +800
Draw +2800
Mayweather win in Round 1-6 9/1
Mayweather win in Round 7-12 9/2

*All odds courtesy Bovada.

Tale of the Tape

Floyd Mayweather Jr.                       
Robert Guerrero       
43-0-0 RECORD 31-1-1
36 AGE 30
26 KOs 18
5'8"/173 cm HEIGHT 5'8"/173 cm
145-147 lbs WEIGHT 145-147 lbs
72"/183 cm REACH 70"/178 cm
Orthodox STANCE Southpaw
-750 ODDS (WIN) +400

*Odds courtesy of Bovada.

Fight Overview

Guerrero earned this fight after a 12-round bashing of Andre Berto in November of 2012.

Mayweather needed a fight against an up-and-comer to help cement his legacy in the welterweight division, and after his release from prison in August he mulled over several candidates while deciding which one posed both a threat to his career and would carry a big card.

The Berto win proved to be enough to sway Mayweather's camp.

Guerrero has moved up two weight classes since he first demanded a fight against Mayweather, and proved worthy of such an assertion after his November win. A fighter who has moved through the ranks steadily after a loss to Gamaliel Diaz in 2006, Guerrero is easily coming off the best win of his 35-fight career (two no-contests).

That won't be enough to beat Mayweather.

Although the Money Team is coming off its toughest fight in years, last May's bout against Miguel Cotto only served as a reminder that Mayweather is still the top fighter in the world. He survived an early attack to win a unanimous decision, and comes into this fight as confident and mature as ever after serving a prison term for domestic violence (h/t ESPN).

The hype for this fight hasn't been great, something that is particularly troubling for Mayweather after signing a six-fight deal to leave HBO for CBS and Showtime Sports in February (h/t

However, talk has picked up in recent weeks, particularly after Guerrero got in trouble with the law following gun charges (via ESPN) and his father went on a public tirade in a pre-fight interview, calling Mayweather a "woman-beater."

When it comes to the actual fight, Guerrero has his hands full in attempting to slow down Mayweather's patented counter-punch attack.

Notorious for using the shoulder roll to feel out his opponent before retaliating with a hard right jab or uppercut, Mayweather won't be hurt by a drop in speed against a fighter who will likely try to get into him early to avoid such a strategy.

Without one-punch knockout capacity, Guerrero will have to pick and choose his spots against one of the fastest fighters in the world (still). He showed he can withstand a 12-round fight by going the distance in each of his last three fights, but to do so against Mayweather usually spells trouble.

During the fight, we should also get a gauge on how Mayweather is stacking up after the layoff of another year tacked on to his boxing career.

With only a day before the fight and the hype still coming along, there's no doubt the pre-fight weigh-in and subsequent interviews will try one last time to pull more fighters for this pay-per-view bout. Whenever Mayweather graces the ring, fans watch, and they'll have a chance to watch once more on Saturday as Guerrero steps to the champ.

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