While it's not how you start but how you finish that counts, it can often be where a horse starts at the Kentucky Derby that determines how it fares in the opening leg of horse racing's Triple Crown.
On Wednesday, NBC Sports Network will broadcast the 2013 Kentucky Derby post draw, which will provide bettors and fans with pivotal pre-race knowledge. While yes, a horse can win from any post, there are certain starting posts that have historically produced more winners than others.
Success at the Kentucky Derby depends on many factors, but which post a contender draws can have a mighty influence depending on where that horse likes to run.
Here we'll get you set with everything you need to know for Wednesday's post draw
When: Wednesday, May 1, 2013
Coverage: 5-6 p.m. ET
Watch: NBC Sports Network
Posts Nos. 1-5
Posts Nos. 1 though 5 have produced slightly over 46 percent of the Kentucky Derby winners since 1900 (52-of-113).
Posts No. 1 and No. 5 are the most successful over the past 112 years, accounting for 24 combined wins. Post No. 4 is right behind, accounting for 11 wins since the start of the 20th century. Super Saver was the last horse to win from one of the first five posts in 2010.
Surprisingly, it's been 15 years since a horse from post No. 1, 2 or 3 has won the Derby.
The First 10 Posts
The odds of a horse winning from inside the first 10 posts are much greater than a horse on the outside (post Nos. 11-20).
Nearly 80 percent of the Derby winners since 1900 have come from the inner 10 posts (90-of-113). Of posts Nos. 6 through 10, Nos. 8 and 10 are the most successful historically. Those posts have produced 10 winners each, with Mine That Bird winning from post No. 8 as recently as 2009.
Of the inner 10 posts, No. 9 is the least successful, producing just four winners since 1900. Riva Ridge was the last horse to win from post No. 9 back in 1972.
Although horses drawing the outside posts have fared worse than those on the inside historically, several recent Derby winners have started way off the rail on the outside.
In the past decade at Churchill Downs, I'll Have Another (No. 19) in 2012, Animal Kingdom (No. 16) in 2011, Big Brown (No. 20) in 2008 and Smarty Jones (No. 13) in 2004 all won from the outer 10 posts.
So while only 20 percent of Derby winners have come from a post outside of No. 10 since 1990, four of the past nine have come from the outside to win.
Posts Nos. 13 and 16 have produced the most winners of the outer 10 since the start of the 20th century, each boasting four winners. Meanwhile, no horse has ever won from post No. 17.
Keep in mind that prior to 2012, no horse had ever won from post No. 19 either.
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