It could be as easy as looking at the longest shots of all time, ranking them in order and calling it a day.
Their odds give you an idea of how unlikely the betting public thought they’d perform. Again, a solid indicator.
In all of the cases, the odds are longer than the line at the DMV, but I’m going to lean on some horses whose odds might not be as long, but had absolutely no business winning the Derby.
These horses will certainly give you something to think about before post time on Saturday. Louisville in early May can be 80 degrees and sunny one second, then 60 degrees with torrential rain 20 minutes later.
All of which can be a recipe for an unlikely winner.