2013 NFL Draft Analysis: Experts Weigh in on Day 1 Action
Every team in the NFL draft believes they made the right pick in the first round, but not everyone agrees.
For each pick, there are hundreds of experts and analysts either approving or second-guessing the move. While this does not make an impact on the future performance of the player, it gives fans a look at a general consensus about the selection.
Here is a look at analysis of the most interesting selections of Round 1.
No. 1 Kansas City Chiefs: Eric Fisher, OT, Central Michigan
Right out of the gate, the Kansas City Chiefs made a bit of a surprising move by selecting Eric Fisher with the No. 1 overall pick. He is an excellent lineman, but the general consensus was that Luke Joeckel of Texas A&M would go higher, according to NFL on ESPN:
WOAH!!! Chiefs with the 1st surprise taking OT Eric Fisher. Many thought Joeckel was a lock to go to KC. #KCPick— NFL on ESPN (@ESPNNFL) April 26, 2013
Daniel Jeremiah of NFL.com discussed how important the Senior Bowl was to Fisher's stock:
EJ Manuel and Eric Fisher proving it is worth it to play in the Senior Bowl!!! #NFLDraft— Daniel Jeremiah (@MoveTheSticks) April 26, 2013
Former coach of the Baltimore Ravens Brian Billick pointed out what he saw at the showcase:
Joeckel was the more known prospect, but Fisher is a stud. I can't recall a single time he got beat during the entire Sr. Bowl week.— Brian Billick (@CoachBillick) April 26, 2013
Of course, not everyone was familiar with the offensive lineman out of Central Michigan. Darren Rovell of ESPN held a Twitter poll to see how many people knew who Fisher was a month ago:
POLL RESULTS: 73% of respondents said they didn’t know who 1st overall pick Eric Fisher was before last month.— darren rovell (@darrenrovell) April 26, 2013
This was a bit of a surprise after months of projecting Joeckel to go No. 1, but Kansas City is unlikely to regret this move.
No. 16 Buffalo Bills: E.J. Manuel, QB, Florida State
Arguably the most surprising pick of the first round was E.J. Manuel to the Buffalo Bills with the No. 16 pick. Ian Rapoport of NFL.com reported the selection with quite a bit of surprise:
Many expected former Syracuse coach Doug Marrone to draft his former quarterback Ryan Nassib, but the team went in another direction.
NFL Network's Mike Mayock is a huge fan of Manuel and was proud of the Bills for drafting him:
So Mayock's favorite QB EJ Manuel is the first one off the board. To Buffalo. Stones #NFLDraft— NFL: AroundTheLeague (@NFL_ATL) April 26, 2013
Meanwhile, Todd McShay of ESPN (via SportsCenter) had a slightly different opinion:
Time will tell whether this ends up being a good pick for Buffalo, but there is a lot of disagreement at the moment.
No. 18 San Francisco 49ers: Eric Reid, S, LSU
The 49ers were aggressive in the first round, trading up 13 spots from No. 31 to No. 18 to select the player they wanted. That turned out to be Eric Reid, who possibly could have been available later in the draft.
Still, the reaction was overall pretty positive from the experts as a replacement for Dashon Goldson. Jason La Canfora of CBS first reported the news:
S Eric Reid to the 49ers. Bold move. Lost a top safety in free agency, loved this guy and obviously figured he was gonna go soon— Jason La Canfora (@JasonLaCanfora) April 26, 2013
ESPN's Chris Mortensen also believed in his value:
#SFPick LSU Safety Eric Reid. Replaces Dashon Goldson. 49ers felt he was the most well rounded safety of the deep group of safeties.— Chris Mortensen (@mortreport) April 26, 2013
Skip Bayless of ESPN was even higher on Reid, saying that he was the best safety in the class:
Nice trade-up pick for SF. Eric Reid is a better safety than Vacarro. The rich get richer.— Skip Bayless (@RealSkipBayless) April 26, 2013
The 49ers do not have a lot of needs, and they made sure they filled a big hole by trading up in the first round.
No. 23 Minnesota Vikings: Sharrif Floyd, DT, Florida
There were a few players who were surprising drops out of the first round, including Geno Smith and Manti Te'o. However, the biggest slide might have been Sharrif Floyd of Florida.
Bill Barnwell of Grantland points out that the defensive tackle was expected to go in the top three picks:
Bovada had Shariff Floyd at -1000 to come off the board with the third overall pick. Not so much.— Bill Barnwell (@billbarnwell) April 26, 2013
Jeff Darlington of NFL.com quotes Mike Mayock for a reason that he dropped, although the analyst does not believe in the excuse:
Mike Mayock said one league exec texted him about "character concerns" regarding Sharrif Floyd. I have "character concerns" about that exec.— Jeff Darlington (@JeffDarlington) April 26, 2013
Finally, Floyd was taken by the Vikings with the 23rd pick, which brought high marks from ESPN's Todd McShay (via SportsCenter):
Regardless of your feelings on Floyd, it is pretty obvious that Minnesota got some good value with this pick.
Complete First-Round Results (via NFL.com)
|1||Kansas City Chiefs||Eric Fisher||OT||Central Michigan|
|2||Jacksonville Jaguars||Luke Joeckel||OT||Texas A&M|
|3||Miami Dolphins (via OAK)||Dion Jordan||DE||Oregon|
|4||Philadelphia Eagles||Lane Johnson||OT||Oklahoma|
|5||Detroit Lions||Ezekiel Ansah||DE||BYU|
|6||Cleveland Browns||Barkevious Mingo||OLB||LSU|
|7||Arizona Cardinals||Jonathan Cooper||OG||North Carolina|
|8||St. Louis Rams (via BUF)||Tavon Austin||WR||West Virginia|
|9||New York Jets||Dee Milliner||CB||Alabama|
|10||Tennessee Titans||Chance Warmack||OG||Alabama|
|11||San Diego Chargers||D.J. Fluker||OT||Alabama|
|12||Oakland Raiders (via MIA)||D.J. Hayden||CB||Houston|
|13||New York Jets||Sheldon Richardson||DT||Missouri|
|14||Carolina Panthers||Star Lotulelei||DT||Utah|
|15||New Orleans Saints||Kenny Vaccaro||S||Texas|
|16||Buffalo Bills (via STL)||E.J. Manuel||QB||Florida State|
|17||Pittsburgh Steelers||Jarvis Jones||OLB||Georgia|
|18||San Francisco 49ers (via DAL)||Eric Reid||S||LSU|
|19||New York Giants||Justin Pugh||OT||Syracuse|
|20||Chicago Bears||Kyle Long||OT||Oregon|
|21||Cincinnati Bengals||Tyler Eifert||TE||Notre Dame|
|22||Atlanta Falcons (via STL)||Desmond Trufant||CB||Washington|
|23||Minnesota Vikings||Sharrif Floyd||DT||Florida|
|24||Indianapolis Colts||Bjoern Werner||OLB||Florida State|
|25||Minnesota Vikings||Xavier Rhodes||CB||Florida State|
|26||Green Bay Packers||Datone Jones||DE||UCLA|
|27||Houston Texans||DeAndre Hopkins||WR||Clemson|
|28||Denver Broncos||Sylvester Williams||DT||North Carolina|
|29||Minnesota Vikings (via NE)||Cordarrelle Patterson||WR||Tennessee|
|30||St. Louis Rams (via ATL)||Alec Ogletree||ILB||Georgia|
|31||Dallas Cowboys (via SF)||Travis Frederick||C||Wisconsin|
|32||Baltimore Ravens||Matt Elam||S||Florida|
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