Hands up if you had EJ Manuel as the only quarterback going in the first round of the 2013 NFL draft.
The Buffalo Bills took him at No. 16, leaving Geno Smith to wallow in the green room all night. Many had Smith as the best QB on the board, but he'll have to wait until at least Friday to hear his name get called.
The Manuel pick was just one of many surprising picks throughout the first round. This year's event just illustrated the unpredictability of the NFL draft. You're sure you know exactly where a team is going. Then it trades down to take a prospect with a third-round grade.
If you did a mock draft, it was likely torn to shreds by about pick No. 11.
In case you missed it or wanted to take another look, here's how the first round unfolded.
1. Kansas City Chiefs: Eric Fisher, OT, Central Michigan
Everyone knew it was going to be either Eric Fisher or Luke Joeckel here. Some might be surprised that Kansas chose Fisher, but he's destined to be a rock on the offensive line for years.
The Chiefs are getting an athletic left tackle who's quick enough to handle edge rushers and strong enough to push around interior linemen. Still, you can't help but think Joeckel was the better pick here. Fisher is the better athlete, but Joeckel is the better blocker. Fisher's going to be good, but if you have the chance to take a player like Joeckel, you don't pass it up.
2. Jacksonville Jaguars: Luke Joeckel, OT, Texas A&M
Left tackle wasn't a huge concern for Jacksonsville coming in. Eugene Monroe has been very good for the Jaguars, and there's no immediate to replace him. With Joeckel on the board, though, his upside was just too good to pass up.
Joeckel will become the best player to come out of this draft. He's solid protecting the quarterback and is quick enough to get out and open holes for running back. You saw how versatile he was when he blocked for pocket passer Ryan Tannehill and the mobile Johnny Manziel while at Texas A&M.
It's hard to know what this means for Monroe at this point, but the Jaguars can feel confident with the knowledge they have their starting left tackle for the next decade.
3. Miami Dolphins (via Oakland): Dion Jordan, DE/OLB, Oregon
Dion Jordan will be the best pass-rusher to come out of this draft. He's a fantastic athlete, and he won't need a ton of work when he gets to training camp. The biggest thing Miami needs to do is get him on a good strength and conditioning program to help Jordan build some muscle.
4. Philadelphia Eagles: Lane Johnson, OT, Oklahoma
The Philadelphia Eagles struggled protecting the quarterback last season. Lane Johnson is an immediate upgrade on that offensive line. He doesn't look to have the same kind of upside as Fisher and Joeckel, but Johnson will be a very good left tackle for years to come.
5. Detroit Lions: Ezekiel Ansah, DE/OLB, BYU
Having lost Kyle Vanden Bosch and Cliff Avril this offseason, the Detroit Lions were in need of a pass-rusher. They found one in Ezeikiel Ansah. Ansah has come a long way from the beginning of the season. Considering his relative inexperience, it's incredible to see the jump he has made at BYU.
6. Cleveland Browns: Barkevious Mingo, DE/OLB, LSU
Barkevious Mingo is one of those players who can go either way. He's got fantastic physical tools, but there's that chance he doesn't develop a strong game and just becomes a one-trick pony. He makes sense for the Browns, but there's some risk involved here. Dee Milliner would have been a better pick here, as pairing him up with Joe Haden would have given the Cleveland Browns a great young corner duo.
7. Arizona Cardinals: Jonathan Cooper, OG, North Carolina
This is one of the safest picks in the draft. Jonathan Cooper is a huge upgrade on the Arizona Cardinals' offensive line. He's a great blocker and can play anywhere on the interior of the line. With the best tackles off the board, Cooper made the most sense.
8. St. Louis Rams (via Buffalo): Tavon Austin, WR, St. Louis Rams
Having lost Danny Amendola in free agency, the Rams needed a slot receiver. There was the threat the Jets could snatch Tavon Austin before St. Louis picked at 16, so the team needed to trade up. This is a very smart pick. Some may complain about Austin's size, but he's quick and agile enough to avoid too many big hits.
9. New York Jets: Dee Milliner, CB, Alabama
Dee Milliner was far and away the best corner in this draft. He's got everything you look for in a at the position: speed, coverage skills and ball-hawking ability. Having traded away Darrelle Revis (h/t Adam Schefter and Rich Cimini of ESPN.com), Milliner is about as good a replacement as the Jets could have hoped for.
10. Tennessee Titans: Chance Warmack, OG, Alabama
Behind Joeckel, this player was the safest in the draft. Chance Warmack is going to have a long career in the league. It's a testament to both he and Cooper that guards were taken this early in the draft. This pick makes a ton of sense as Warmack can open up running lanes for Chris Johnson.
11. San Diego Chargers: D.J. Fluker, OT, Alabama
This was the first really questionable pick of the draft. It makes sense for the San Diego Chargers to upgrade an offensive line that was dreadful last season. Taking D.J. Fluker here is a reach. He has the potential to be a good tackle, but he's limited. You can only see him on the right side of the line. The Chargers would have been much better off trading down and waiting on Fluker.
12. Oakland Raiders (via Miami): D.J. Hayden, CB, Houston
There were rumblings the Raiders might go with Geno Smith here, but Oakland took D.J. Hayden. It's an incredible story. Hayden goes from almost dying on the field to going in the first round of the draft. He's very strong in coverage and has good initial quickness. Fans are used to seeing the Raiders make a comedy of their first-round picks, but this is a good selection.
13. New York Jets (via Tampa Bay): Sheldon Richardson, DT, Missouri
Sheldon Richardson is a nice fit on the Jets' defensive line. He's a very good athlete for his size and has some flexibility. While not strong against the run, Richardson can become a very good interior rusher. Fans might have wanted offensive players, but this is a better value pick than any the Jets would have gotten taking an offensive guy.
14. Carolina Panthers: Star Lotulelei, DT, Utah
The Carolina Panthers got great value here. Star Lotulelei is the best defensive tackle in this draft. He doesn't have the same kind of athleticism as Richardson, but he's a much better overall talent. Lotulelei is the force on the defensive line the Panthers have lacked since Kris Jenkins left.
15. New Orleans Saints: Kenny Vaccaro, S, Texas
Everyone pretty much knew the Saints were going defense; it was just a matter of where. New Orleans could have gone with a pass-rusher but took Kenny Vaccaro instead. It's a smart pick. Vaccaro is strong against the run and pass and isn't afraid to lay the wood on opposing receivers.
16. Buffalo Bills (via St. Louis): E.J. Manuel, QB, Florida State
Many thought Doug Marrone would go for his college quarterback, Ryan Nassib. Instead, Manuel became the first QB off the board. This was a bit of a reach, but it does make some sense for the Buffalo Bills.
Having signed Kevin Kolb, the Bills have their starter for next season. That allows Manuel to sit on the bench and learn until he's ready to become Buffalo's starting QB. He needs time to develop his game. Manuel doesn't have the talent right now to be a dependable starter the first game of 2013. You would think the team could have waited longer to go with Manuel.
17. Pittsburgh Steelers: Jarvis Jones, OLB, Georgia
The Pittsburgh Steelers must be thanking their lucky stars Jarvis Jones fell to 17. He didn't really test out well at the combine or Georgia's pro day but this is still a very good football player, and years from now Jones will turn out to be a steal. Jones is a great pass-rusher and his run defense is above average as well.
18. San Francisco 49ers (via Dallas Cowboys): Eric Reid, S, LSU
The San Francisco 49ers were on the lookout for a safety, as Dashon Goldson signed with the Buccaneers. Getting Eric Reid makes sense. But with Sharrif Floyd on the board, Reid may not have been the best possible pick. Plus, if the 49ers really wanted Reid, they probably could have waited until the 31st pick.
19. New York Giants: Justin Pugh, OG, Syracuse
This was probably the next really questionable pick. The New York Giants could use a pass-rusher, but they took Justin Pugh instead. His short arm length means he projects best as a guard. Pugh is a fit there, but there were better options on the board.
20. Chicago Bears: Kyle Long, OG, Oregon
In a few years, Kyle Long could turn into a tackle. Right now, he could start at guard for the Chicago Bears. Their offensive line needed an upgrade, but much like the Giants, they really reached with this one. In terms of value, this pick is one of the lowest in the first round.
21. Cincinnati Bengals: Tyler Eifert, TE, Notre Dame
The Cincinnati Bengals already have Jermaine Gresham, so some might be surprised to see the team grab another tight end. Considering Eifert's talent, this is a great value pick, and it also fills a need on Cincinnati's offense.
Taking a tight end is never really a flashy pick, but Eifert is the kind of pass-catcher who can offer Andy Dalton another target in the passing game. Eifert can also help to take pressure off A.J. Green and pair up with Gresham for two tight end sets. Green established himself as a star last season, but unless the Bengals give him the proper support, defenses will be able to blanket him.
22. Atlanta Falcons (via St. Louis): Desmond Trufant, CB, Washington
The Atlanta Falcons released Dunta Robinson, so you knew they would be looking for a corner in the first round. Aside from being talented, Desmond Trufant has a pedigree unmatched by any other corner in the draft. He's got two brothers, Isaiah and Marcus, both playing in the NFL.
23. Minnesota Vikings: Sharrif Floyd, DT, Florida
Some might be a bit shocked to have seen Floyd fall this far. He's one of the more athletic defensive tackles in this draft. This is a great value pick for the Minnesota Vikings. Floyd can help stop the run, but he's also quick enough to get pressure on the quarterback.
24. Indianapolis Colts: Bjoern Werner, DE, Florida State
Bjoern Werner fell down the draft board, because like Jarvis Jones, he didn't do well at the combine. Their defense was suspect last season, and Werner is one of the most polished pass-rushers in the draft. He just lacks the kind of physical tools that guys like Jordan, Mingo and Ansah have. The biggest problem is whether or not Werner will fit in the Indianapolis Colts' 3-4 defense.
25. Minnesota Vikings (via Seattle): Xavier Rhodes, CB, Florida State
This is a great pick for the Vikings. Xavier Rhodes is going to become one of the best corners to come out of this draft. Snagging him and Floyd gives Minnesota one of the best first round showings.
Rhodes is a physical corner, but most of that physicality comes inside the five-yard window. With the way the league is clamping down on contact in the secondary, it's getting harder and harder to bully wide receivers. Jamming is now pretty much the only way you can bump receivers off their routes. This is where Rhodes excels. He'll pick up flags, but the good will far outweigh the bad.
26. Green Bay Packers: Datone Jones, DE, UCLA
Datone Jones has a lot of upside and putting him with Clay Matthews gives the Green Bay Packers what could be a nasty pass rush. Jones is a good athlete who can come off the edge or possibly line up at defensive end.
27. Houston Texans: DeAndre Hopkins, WR, Clemson
Andre Johnson needs some help in Houston, so the Texans took DeAndre Hopkins. He's not a tremendous athlete, albeit still very fast and agile. Having Johnson means the Houston Texans could go with a solid, reliable pass-catcher. That's exactly what Hopkins is. This was a great pick.
28. Denver Broncos: Sylvester Williams, DT, North Carolina
The Denver Broncos don't have a ton of holes defensively. Sylvester Williams is the run-stuffer that makes the most sense. He's a big guy with a lot of strength, who uses that strength very well on the bull rush. The only problem is that Williams can disappear during games. With the talent and experience on that Denver defense, he may be getting the kind of push necessary to fulfill his potential.
29. Minnesota Vikings (via New England): Cordarrelle Patterson, WR, Tennessee
Minnesota traded a whopping four picks to the New England Patriots in order to move up to 29. The Vikings would have really hurt their grade if they took Manti Te'o here. Instead, they went after Cordarrelle Patterson, which is a much better pick. He is the aerial threat the Vikings need in order to help out Christian Ponder.
30. St. Louis Rams (via Atlanta): Alec Ogletree, ILB, Georgia
Alec Ogletree comes with a certain amount of risk, so taking him with the 30th pick is about where he should be. The Rams could be getting a tremendous linebacker whose speed and athleticism will lead him to a productive career. There's also the chance that Ogletree doesn't adjust to the NFL and make the most of his physical tools.
31. Dallas Cowboys (via San Francisco): Travis Frederick, C, Wisconsin
Jerry Jones continues to build upon his reputation as a terrible general manager. There's no getting around it. Travis Frederick is a terrible pick here. He's a solid center, but he's not worth a first-round draft pick. This was a huge reach for the Dallas Cowboys.
32. Baltimore Ravens: Matt Elam, S, Florida
Which star were the Ravens going to replace, Ray Lewis or Ed Reed? It turns out safety was the bigger hole, so Baltimore went with Matt Elam. Considering the inside linebackers still available, Matt Elam is the smarter pick. He's a good athlete, and his ball-hawking ability is similar to that of Reed. In time, Elam will become one of the best safeties in the league.
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