When Robert Guerrero (31-1-1, 18 KOs) squares off against Floyd Mayweather (43-0, 26 KOs) Saturday night in Las Vegas, the biggest key to victory for The Ghost will be starting the fight aggressive and not giving Money a chance to breath.
Guerrero must attack with ferocity from the opening bell to stifle any of the plans Mayweather has to start the fight and force him into a defensive mindset.
Who walks away victorious?
Whether they are hard body shots or blows to the head, Guerrero needs to get inside the reach of Mayweather and unleash his power at point-blank range. As skilled as Money is as an aggressive boxer, he tends to fight as a counterpuncher when attacked, and The Ghost must exploit that.
If Guerrero doesn't come out the aggressor to start Saturday's fight—something he did in his upset victory over Andre Berto—Mayweather will take the lead, find the openings he needs to attack and will force The Ghost off-balance with his elite counterattacking.
History shows that an aggressive Money is the most dangerous.
Mayweather told BoxingScene.com about Guerrero calling him out and subtly reveals one of The Ghost’s biggest weaknesses:
He said he’s been calling me out for a year, but I really don’t know him, only from a couple clips that I’ve seen. Just for starters, he’s a flat-footed fighter. Me, myself, I’m a winner. I know how to win. Come fight night, I’m always able to expose any fighter’s weakness. We’re the Ghostbusters.
When Mayweather says, “he’s a flat-footed fighter,” that’s the exact reason Guerrero needs to spend the first six rounds moving forward on his toes and bringing the action right into the face of Mayweather.
Normally, Guerrero is more of a tactical fighter that tends to use his power advantage and reach to pick his shots (leaving him flat footed at times), but the raw speed of Mayweather makes that style obsolete in this bout.
Just as the boxing world saw in the fight against Miguel Cotto, Mayweather can be troubled at times by a fighter that has the ability to get inside and punish him.
While Money is arguably one of the best counterpunchers in the word and can fight defensively as well as anyone, Guerrero knows that if he is going to hurt Mayweather, it’s going to be in the first several rounds and at a close distance.
The Ghost must leave better judgment out of his fight game plan and attack Mayweather like few in the past have done. Money is undefeated for a reason, and Guerrero must try something that fits his style and would catch his opponent off guard.
There is no question that attacking Mayweather non-stop for the first several rounds could get Guerrero knocked out or tire him out for the latter rounds, but The Ghost must realize that his only chance at winning is by inflicting substantial damage early.
Mayweather is still the favorite to win, but Guerrero has nothing to lose, and those are the fighters that tend to be the most dangerous.