They've asked me to do it again, but I thought that the picture for the No. 1 overall pick would be far more clear one day prior to the 2013 NFL draft.
I was wrong.
Things have changed considerably in regards to the Chiefs' projections since January. Alex Smith was not yet a Chief at the time, and my top two candidates for the Chiefs' pick were West Virginia quarterback Geno Smith and Arkansas quarterback Tyler Wilson. This time around, there are no quarterbacks on my list.
The only holdover from January's list to make it onto this list is Texas A&M left tackle Luke Joeckel, who was ranked as the No. 3 candidate in January. The competition that has emerged to challenge Joeckel for the top spot, however, does not feature the players I anticipated in January.
Chiefs general manager John Dorsey said at his pre-draft news conference on Friday that the Chiefs had narrowed their list of prospects down to four players. He did not identify those players in name, but based on various reports, it would seem that those four players are Joeckel, Central Michigan left tackle Eric Fisher, Oregon outside linebacker Dion Jordan and Florida defensive tackle Sharrif Floyd.
Truthfully, the latter three were not even considered, let alone included, the first time I did this ranking. That's how fluid and unpredictable the months leading up to this draft have been.
In the following slides, I rank the four most likely players to be drafted No. 1 overall by the Chiefs on Thursday night.