When it comes to prospects, minor league statistics tend to be misleading. That’s not to say they hold no value, but eye-popping numbers alone, especially against inferior competition, are anything but a guarantee that a prospect will succeed in the major leagues. More importantly, they offer minimal insight about a player’s long-term projection.
Rather, prospect evaluation is rooted in the intense scrutiny of a player’s development and progress, whether it be a hitter or pitcher, in all facets of the game. In terms of projection, it all comes down to a player’s perceived ceiling, which, as my colleague Adam Wells recently noted, represents the best and most optimistic outcome.
As it relates to pitching prospects, a high ceiling is usually tied to a young hurler’s projection as a frontline starter or ace in the major leagues. Now, that doesn’t necessarily mean that the player should be regarded as one of the game’s top prospects or even the best within their respective organization. Rather, it means that they have the most upside presuming everything goes as planned in their development.
That being said, here’s a look at each team’s pitching prospect with the greatest upside.