Indiana Basketball: Projected Stats for Each Incoming 2013 Recruit
The Indiana Hoosiers are going to look very different next season. They are losing six players including four starters. The departing players scored 72.1 percent of Indiana's points and grabbed 65 percent of the rebounds, per insidethehall.com.
Replacing players such as Cody Zeller, Victor Oladipo and Christian Watford are six incoming freshmen. To say this group has a lot to replace is an understatement.
With so many upperclassmen leaving, it is likely that most of the freshmen will get significant playing time next season.
Because these freshmen have a chance to be impact players, it's time to look ahead and examine how they will perform in their first year. This slideshow will predict the stat line of all six incoming players.
The Hoosiers are depleted in the post with the departure of Cody Zeller and Christian Watford. That leaves Hanner Mosquera-Perea and Peter Jurkin as the only two low-post options. Mosquera-Perea underachieved in his freshman year by only scoring 0.9 points and grabbing 1.5 rebounds per game. Jurkin only played in three games all season.
Enter Luke Fischer.
The 6'10" big man from Germantown, Wis. is poised to have a spectacular year for the Hoosiers. Because of the lack of post players on the roster, Fischer should get an abundance of playing time. It's completely realistic that he will be in the starting five.
Like Zeller, he thrives down low. He has a variety of post moves but can also step out to the elbow and drain jump shots. When Zeller was a freshman, he averaged 15.6 points and 6.6 rebounds per game. Fischer won't perform that well, but he'll put up respectable numbers.
2013-14 Season Prediction: 25.0 MPG, 10.7 PPG, 6.3 RPG, 2.3 BPG
Devin Davis Jr.
Devin Davis Jr. has a real shot to break into the rotation. With Will Sheehey moving into the starting lineup and Remy Abell transferring, two spots in the second unit have opened up.
While he is not a true ball-handler, his dribbling skills are adequate. He can get in the lane and finish at the rim but needs to work on his jump shot. If he makes improvements from now until the start of the season, key minutes could be coming his way.
2013-14 Season Prediction: 8.0 MPG, 4.0 PPG, 3.3 RPG, 1.0 APG
Noah Vonleh is the best player coming to Indiana next season. He is long, athletic and dynamic on both ends of the floor.
He is talented enough not just to be a starter but a team leader as well. He is confident in his offensive game and can score from anywhere on the court. By season's end, he could be the team's best player.
Vonleh has the skills to become the next Victor Oladipo. They play a similar style in that they attack the basket relentlessly and have athletic gifts that set them apart from the competition.
The Hoosiers will depend on him to score points, and he should get plenty of chances to do so.
2013-14 Season Projection: 28.5 MPG, 15.7 PPG, 5.8 RPG, 1.9 SPG, 2.0 APG
Like Noah Vonleh, Troy Williams should be a lock for the starting lineup. He has great finishing ability around the basket and isn't afraid to play above the rim. Williams and Vonleh should pair together nicely in Indiana's starting five.
In order to elevate his game, Williams has to improve his jump shot. It's not that he can't shoot from outside, it's just that he is inconsistent. Tom Crean will look for him to be an offensive threat next season. In order to score against the rugged defenses of the Big Ten, he will have to utilize his jump shot.
2013-14 Season Projection: 26.8 MPG, 10.5 PPG, 5.9 RPG, 1.0 SPG, 1.0 APG
The 6'4" shooting guard is a natural for his position. Stanford Robinson has the DNA of a big-time scorer and can hurt opposing defenses from all areas of the floor. He has a solid jump shot that extends to the three-point line, and he isn't afraid to get in the lane either.
With Will Sheehey moving to the starting lineup, the second unit needs a shooting guard. Expect Robinson to fill the empty spot.
He brings dynamic offensive abilities that the Hoosiers bench desperately need. This season, Sheehey was the only bench player who could score consistently. Tom Crean is hoping that Robinson will bring an offensive presence to the second unit.
2013-14 Season Prediction: 14.0 MPG, 7.3 PPG, 2.0 RPG, 2.0 APG, 0.5 SPG
Of the six incoming players, Collin Hartman needs to improve the most. He is a one-dimensional player, but his one dimension is significant.
Hartman is a lights-out three-point shooter. This works in his favor because Indiana's offense values outside shooting. The Hoosiers push the pace and love to fast break in order to set up transition threes for their shooters.
Hartman lacks quickness, which will make him a liability on defense, but Indiana has had players like him who have been successful. Matt Roth (54.5 percent three-point percentage in senior year) and Jordan Hulls (career 44.1 percent three-point percentage) didn't have the speed or agility to play lockdown defense, but their three-point shooting allowed them to earn playing time.
Hartman will get minutes early in the season when Indiana plays weaker competition. When the conference schedule beings, expect him to be on the bench. If the bench struggles, though, Crean could give Hartman a chance.
2013-14 Season Prediction: 4.0 MPG, 2.5 PPG, 1.5 RPG, 0.7 APG