This specific article—the best-case, "most realistic"-case and worst-case-scenario for every round of the draft—is one of my personal favorite articles of the year. This will be the fourth time I have conducted this exercise, and one year I hope to actually nail a couple of picks. I know—try, try again. One year I swear I will get some right.
The Bills have been rather sly about how they have popped up on the radar with certain free agents, starting with Manny Lawson, Alan Branch, Fred Davis and Kevin Kolb. Then out of the blue, ESPN's Adam Schefter announced on Twitter that the Bills have linebacker Karlos Dansby coming in to visit Buffalo. If the Bills sign Dansby that clearly will impact what they do in the draft.
So with all of these recent developments, it is probably for the best that we waited until a couple of days before the draft to put this presentation together. If we did it a month ago, as was the case for the last three times, it would have been for naught.
If you are checking this out for the first time, you might be wondering how this mock draft works with the different scenarios...
The best-case scenario is the pick that I think would be the most ideal selection for Buffalo if everything fell just right. Seldom will the pick work out this way, but again, this is what I would like to see happen for Buffalo.
But in life, how often does everything fall just right, especially for the Bills? So that is why we also have the realistic-case scenario, which is how I envision things will probably unfold, taking the best fit for Buffalo when they are on the clock, basing the pick on a combination of best player available and need.
With this edition, I opted to eliminate the worst-case scenario, and have substituted that with the new "don't faint" scenario. That could range from a sleeper pick to an out-of-left-field pick that makes sense the more you think about it.
This mock draft is based on Buddy Nix's aversion to trading during the draft. He doesn't enjoy moving up or moving down. Wherever the Bills are scheduled to draft, staying put is his preference. So we will conduct the mock on the six picks the Bills own, which are No. 8, 41, 71, 105, 143 and 177 overall. If Nix does swing a trade, then this mock would become moot, so take all this with a grain of salt.