Current Position: 3rd (Played 31, Points 58, GD +27)
At present the Blues have a healthy goal difference advantage over Tottenham—with a game in hand—and sit two points above Arsenal, but their assault is made all the more complicated by a hectic schedule, which shows no sign of easing.
If Chelsea advance in either cup competition they're still in, then games against Aston Villa and the crucial Tottenham clash will still need to be assigned a date, and three games a week until the close will have effects on a squad which has been light since the start.
By my reckoning Rafa Benitez's side will only need to pick up 11 or 12 points to secure a top-four berth, so where will they come from?
Fulham A 17/4
Chelsea make the short trip across west London to play Fulham a week on Wednesday—just three days after their FA Cup semifinal with Manchester City.
The Blues have only won two of their last 10 away fixtures, and they were to Middlesbrough and Sparta Prague.
Playing on a heavy Wembley surface won't do any favours to weary limbs, and although Fulham have little to play for, I can see the Cottagers giving as good as they get and claiming a draw.
Prediction: Draw (59 points)
Liverpool A 21/4
Chelsea don't have a particularly good recent record against Liverpool anywhere, let alone at Anfield.
The noise from the Kop will be cranked up for Rafa's return, and the Blues will also more than likely have a Europa League semi to come a couple of days later.
The Reds are still in the hunt for a European finish themselves, and given Chelsea's limitations on Merseyside and a volume of games, I'm going for a home win here.
Prediction: Liverpool win (59 points)
Swansea City H 27/4
With the greatest respect to Swansea, this is probably Chelsea's easiest match of the run-in and one they have to win.
With the potential for dropped points lurking all around, the Blues must claim maximum against mid-table teams at home—even if the Swans visit will likely sandwich two Europa League semis.
Michael Laudrup's men have little to play for and Chelsea will be keen to avenge the 2-0 Carling Cup loss here at the beginning of the year.
One game Chelsea cannot afford to even draw, and I think they'll win.
Prediction: Chelsea win (62 points)
Manchester United A 4/5
The Blues will be hoping United would have wrapped the title up by the time they meet with the Reds, having four games prior to this to pick up the necessary 10 points.
Either way, Chelsea have good memories of playing at Old Trafford, and with the heat off Sir Alex Ferguson's side, I think the visitors could claim a vital draw despite probably playing the second leg of the Europa League semi just a few days before.
Prediction: Draw (63 points)
Tottenham H 8/5
If either Tottenham or Chelsea progress from the Europa League quarters, it's looking like their crucial meet will be played on May 8th.
This could be the game which swings the whole thing, with a win for either side giving them a huge advantage over the other.
Spurs will be desperate for Gareth Bale to be back for this one, but even still I think they're running out of legs and haven't won at Stamford Bridge for over 20 years.
I think on home turf Chelsea have enough quality and know-how to nick a vital three points in a result which should seal their place in the top four.
Prediction: Chelsea win (66 points)
Aston Villa A 12/5
It might be jumping the gun a bit, but if Chelsea get to the FA Cup and Europa League finals, then this game will pose a real problem for the Premier League fixture schedulers.
The FA Cup final is due this weekend, with the Europa League final on the following Wednesday and the final game of the season on the Sunday after that.
Regardless, the Blues haven't picked up many victories at Villa Park down the years, and Paul Lambert's side could still be in a dogfight to stay up.
This is the sort of game where Chelsea need to wrestle a win and—even considering other fixtures—I think they will.
Prediction: Chelsea win (69 points)
Everton H 19/5
If it comes down to the final game of the season, then Chelsea should beat Everton at home.
The Toffees will already have packed their suitcases for their summer holidays, and the Blues will need one last hurrah to push them over the line.
A draw may be good enough, but I think Chelsea will claim the maximum to secure that top four spot.
Prediction: Chelsea win (72 points)