Joe Nicholson-USA TODAY Sports
Takedowns and Takedown Defense
Since joining former opponent Phil Davis at Alliance MMA, Alexander Gustafsson's ground game seems to have taken off to a new level. Following his loss to Davis, Gustafsson scored back-to-back submission wins and recently took Mauricio Rua down six times in a three-round bout.
Meanwhile, Mousasi's takedown defense has played a big part in his most recent setbacks.
Mousasi was taken down 11 times in a title fight against Muhammed Lawal and six times in a disappointing draw with Keith Jardine.
Control and Escapability
Mousasi is active off of his back, but that doesn't mean he's all that great at escaping back to his feet.
If he finds himself under the physically larger Gustafsson, Mousasi could be forced to work his guard for five rounds and hope to lock up a submission.
Gustafsson isn't a smothering wrestler, but his work with Davis should have him more than prepared to control an opponent like Mousasi on the ground.
Submissions and Submission Defense
While Gustafsson and Mousasi have both scored a number of submission wins in their careers, neither has forced an opponent of the other's caliber to tap in the past.
At the same time, the UFC on Fuel TV 9 headliners have gotten caught in submissions themselves. So, there is potential for either competitor to end this fight in a scramble on the ground.
Overall Grappling Edge: Gustafsson