Opponent: Syracuse (No. 4 seed)
Reason for Concern: Trouble inside
When looking for potential upsets, it's always good to start with a glaring statistical discrepancy. Take, for example, the fact that Syracuse leads the nation in blocked-shot percentage. Indiana, meanwhile, ranks 277th in percentage of attempts blocked.
Sounds like the Hoosiers might have trouble scoring inside against the Orange, and anecdotal evidence largely supports that notion.
Syracuse has one of the nation's best post defenders in Rakeem Christmas, and Jim Boeheim's teams have always excelled at shutting down the painted area. Thanks to its legendary 2-3 zone, Syracuse has ranked among the nation's five best in blocked-shot percentage four seasons running.
Now, let's turn to Indiana. Cody Zeller is the Hoosiers' only true post player, and he has struggled on occasion with more athletic front lines.
In two games against Minnesota, the Big Ten's best shot-blocking team, Zeller averaged 13.5 points per game on 47.5 percent shooting. Perhaps even more telling, Zeller averaged significantly fewer field-goal attempts and fewer free-throw attempts in those two games compared to his season averages.
Obviously, we should be careful with small sample sizes, but the evidence we have says that Syracuse's defense could be a tough draw for Zeller in the half court.
Indiana is such a superlative shooting team that the Hoosiers might not need Zeller's offense to prosper. But the situation bears monitoring.