Look, I know the quarterback is the most important position in football. I know teams without a franchise signal caller rarely do well. I am aware that the Bills will be under a lot of pressure to take Smith.
But I believe that the premium placed on quarterbacks in the draft is insane and dooms franchises to 4-5 years of top ten picks as often (if not more frequently) as it takes them to the promised land. Look at the Jaguars. Blaine Gabbert was a reach. Look at the Titans. Jake Locker was a reach. Look at the Vikings. Christian Ponder was a reach. Look at the Browns. Brandon Weeden was a reach (although at the end of the first, not as big of one). All of those teams are now back in the top 10.
As an aside, Bruce Arians proved to me why he deserves to be an NFL head coach when he came out and said flat out that there was not a star quarterback in this draft and he was happy with Drew Stanton. It proves to me that the Cardinals will get out of the top ten while teams like the Bills, Jaguars, and Raiders keep hoping to finally get lucky.
Is Stanton going to take the Cardinals to the Super Bowl? Probably not, but Arians' point is this: Stanton most likely will not lose games. He has a pair of good receivers, a decent offensive line, and a couple of young running backs with some upside. So Arians is looking at this year's draft class and thinks, "Let's get another piece to help us win." Quarterback is only at a premium position if there are premium players to choose from: Andrew Luck, Robert Griffin III, Matt Stafford, Aaron Rodgers, etc..
But think about it. Tom Brady: 6th Round pick, Drew Brees: 2nd Round pick, Colin Kaepernick: 2nd Round pick, Russell Wilson: 3rd Round pick. The list goes on.
Sure there are plenty of quarterbacks taken in the first round that turn into great players. But when you look at the amount of busts and just average QB's taken the first round in recent years, it seems so obvious that reaching for QB can do much more harm than good.
Now to Smith and the Bills. If the Raiders can resist taking Smith, the Bills will be the team the sends itself to the bottom of the league for the next five years or so. Smith is inaccurate, inconsistent and throws the ball poorly on the run. He is the best of a bad bunch but the Bills would be much better if they took a chance on a guy like Ryan Nassib or Mike Glennon in the second and addressed another need at No. 8.