NCAA Tournament 2013 Bracket: Trendy Upset Picks to Avoid

Maxwell OgdenCorrespondent IIIMarch 21, 2013

LAS VEGAS, NV - MARCH 16:  Carlos Emory #33 of the Oregon Ducks celebrates by cutting down the net following his teams 78-69 victory over the UCLA Bruins during the Pac-12 Championship game at the MGM Grand Garden Arena on March 16, 2013 in Las Vegas, Nevada.  (Photo by Jeff Gross/Getty Images)
Jeff Gross/Getty Images

The 2013 NCAA tournament is underway, as the play-in games have been decided. With the field officially set, brackets have begun to take shape as fans and analysts are beginning to predict what will transpire.

For those looking for an upset, however, there are certain trendy picks to avoid.

Some teams are viewed as weak due to injuries. Those very teams are led by superstar players that should be able to guide their respective units to success.

Some squads won conference championships, but they fail to compare to their tournament opponent. Other teams are suffering from the burden of their conference's reputation.

So which common upset picks must you stay away from?


No. 11 Minnesota over No. 6 UCLA, South Region

According to ESPN Insider, 46.9 percent of brackets have the No. 11 Minnesota Golden Gophers defeating the No. 6 UCLA Bruins. By seeding, this would be considered a significant upset.

Just don't jump the gun on this one.

UCLA will be without second-leading scorer Jordan Adams, who suffered a broken right foot during the Pac-12 Conference tournament. With that being said, the Bruins should be strong favorites in this game for two reasons.

Shabazz Muhammad is still on the roster and Minnesota has lost 11 of their past 16 games.

Muhammad is a legitimate superstar, and the NCAA tournament is the perfect place for him to shine. Furthermore, UCLA still has an elite facilitator in Larry Drew II and a potential breakout star in Kyle Anderson.

UCLA is the better team in this game—don't let the Big Ten's label fool you.


No. 12 Oregon over No. 5 Oklahoma State, Midwest Region

Per ESPN Insider, 40.1 percent of brackets have the Oregon Ducks defeating the Oklahoma State Cowboys. This pick comes with good reason, as the Ducks are coming off of a Pac-12 tournament championship.

Unfortunately for the Ducks, they're about to walk into a game against Wooden Award finalist Marcus Smart.

Smart leads a Cowboys team that has a three-man backcourt worth marveling. Between he, Markel Brown and Le'Bryan Nash, the Cowboys have the star power to defeat any caliber opponent.

Even in a daunting No. 5 versus No. 12 battle.

The Cowboys struggle to shoot the three-ball, but that will not prevent them from defeating Oregon. Even if it is an attractive choice, we can't bet against a star.

Specifically one of Smart's caliber.


No. 10 Cincinnati over No. 7 Creighton, Midwest Region

According to ESPN Insider, 45.4 percent of users are taking Cincinnati over the Creighton Bluejays. A major reason why is the Bearcats' ability to play smothering defense.

Those people seemingly appear unaware of the fact that Creighton leads the nation in both field goal and three-point field goal percentage.

Furthermore, the Bluejays are fifth in assists per game and 24th in points per game. In other words, they're a dominant offensive unit that thrives off of efficiency.

For what it's worth, Creighton also ranks 10th in defensive rebounding.

Furthermore, the Bluejays have a legitimate superstar in Doug McDermott. He's averaging 23.1 points and 7.5 rebounds on a mind-boggling slash line of .561/.497/.860.

Creighton is a Cinderella, not a first-round exit.


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