NCAA March Madness: West Region Predictions, Trends, Computer Picks

OddsShark.comFeatured ColumnistMarch 20, 2013

NASHVILLE, TN - MARCH 16:  Reginald Buckner #23 of the Ole Miss Rebels celebrates after scoring a basket in the second half against the Vanderbilt Commodores during the Semifinals of the SEC basketball tournament at Bridgestone Arena on March 16, 2013 in Nashville, Tennessee.  (Photo by Andy Lyons/Getty Images)
Andy Lyons/Getty Images

Mississippi was an upset winner of the SEC tournament and one college basketball scores prediction computer is picking them to upset Wisconsin in the first round of the West Region.

The computer has a 77-76 final predicted in this 5-vs-12 showdown. And that’s not the only significant upset based on the West Region odds and trends.

No. 6 Arizona is in big trouble against No. 11 Belmont, as the computer has an 83-79 final prediction.

No. 1 Gonzaga will win its 15th straight game overall, but they won’t cover the spread against the Southern Jaguars. The predicted final score would continue the Bulldogs’ trend towards OVERs as they are on an 8-2 run 10 recent tournament games.

New Mexico earned the third seed with its Mountain West title but the Lobos are just 1-5 ATS in six recent tournament games. And Notre Dame has been one of the worst bracket bets over the past decade. The Irish are favored but just 1-7 ATS in eight Madness games, which could impact some NCAA basketball betting strategies.

Check out a few West Region trends and predictions on all the opening round games, courtesy of

Preview: Computer Prediction: 84-76 Gonzaga
Southern 19-3 SU past 22 games
Gonzaga OVER is 8-2 past 10 tournament games


Preview: Computer Prediction: 78-73 Panthers
Wichita State 12-4 ATS past 16 games overall
Pitt 2-7 ATS past 9 tournament games

Preview: Computer Prediction: 77-76 Mississippi
Wisconsin 5-1 ATS past 6 first-round games
Ole Miss first tournament trip since 2002

Preview: Computer Prediction: 77-76 Boise State
Boise State 9-2 ATS past 11 games
LaSalle 1-6-1 ATS past 8 games as underdog
Winner faces:
Kansas State never lost as a favorite all season (20-0 SU)

Preview: Computer Prediction: 83-79 Belmont
Belmont 1-10 SU as underdog since 2009
Arizona 11-4 ATS past 15 tournament games

Preview: Computer Prediction: 72-70 New Mexico
Harvard 6-1 ATS past 7 games as underdog
New Mexico 1-5 ATS past 6 tournament games

Preview: Computer Prediction: 80-78 Iowa State
Iowa State is 1-10 SU, 3-8 ATS past 11 games as underdog
Notre Dame 1-7 ATS past 8 tournament games

Preview: Computer Prediction: 82-76 Ohio State
Iona won 5 straight to end the season
Ohio State 13-5 SU in tournament since 2007