NCAA Tournament

NCAA March Madness Computer Picks and Trends: South Region Predictions

NASHVILLE, TN - MARCH 17:  Kenny Boynton #1 of the Florida Gators celebrates his three-pointer in the first half against the Ole Miss Rebels during the SEC Basketball Tournament Championship game at Bridgestone Arena on March 17, 2013 in Nashville, Tennessee.  (Photo by Andy Lyons/Getty Images)
Andy Lyons/Getty Images
OddsShark.comFeatured ColumnistMarch 20, 2013

South Region trends and predictions differ from the other brackets because the top seed is not even the betting favorite to win the bracket.

Kansas is the top seed, but No. 3 Florida has been made the favorite to win the South Region, according to several sportsbooks tracked by OddsShark.com.

"We have them projected ahead of Kansas at No. 1 and Georgetown at No. 2 and therefore the Gators are our favorite," said Kevin Bradley, sportsbook manager at Bovada.lv.

"They probably deserve to be a No. 1 seed and we are treating the March Madness futures that way."

Historically, the Gators have excelled at tournament time, running to a 9-3 ATS in their past 12 bracket contests. The scores prediction computer doesn’t think they will cover the spread against No. 14 Northwestern State in the opening round however.

Kansas has been on a roll lately, with a bracket-best 10-1 ATS run in 11 recent games.

The South also includes the most dominant tournament betting team of the past few years. Virginia Commonwealth is 10-1 ATS in its past 11 tournament games, and they are projected to win a squeaker over No. 12 Akron out of the MAC.

Check out some South Region trends and computer predictions on all games, courtesy of OddsShark.com.

Preview: Computer Prediction: 80-69 Kansas

Western Kentucky 7- SU, 6-2 ATS past 8 games
UNDER is 9-2 past 11 Kansas tournament games

Preview: Computer Prediction: 78-73 UNC
North Carolina 7-2 ATS past 9 games as favorite
Villanova 0-4 ATS past 4 tournament games (UNDER 4-0)

Preview: Computer Prediction: 82-80 VCU
Akron 6-2 ATS past 8 games as underdog
VCU 11-1 ATS past 12 tournament games

Preview: Computer Prediction: 82-78 Michigan
Michigan 2-9 ATS past 11 games as favorite
South Dakota State 14-3 SU past 17 games

Preview: Computer Prediction: 75-74 Minnesota
UCLA 2-6 ATS past 8 tournament games
Minnesota 0-5 SU & ATS since 1997 in tournament

Preview: Computer Prediction: 87-79 Gators
Northwestern State – no trends
Florida 9-3 ATS past 12 tournament games

Preview: Computer Prediction: 75-72 San Diego State
San Diego State 1-5 ATS past 6 games
Oklahoma OVER 10-1 past 11 games

Preview: Computer Prediction: 74-71 Hoyas
Florida Gulf Coast 12-2 SU past 14 games
Georgetown 3-7 ATS past 10 tournament games

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