March Madness 2013: Power Ranking Top Seeds Most Likely to Fall to Upsets

Dan TalintyreSenior Analyst IIMarch 17, 2013

DURHAM, NC - MARCH 05:  Seth Curry #30 of the Duke Blue Devils celebrates after making a basket during their game against the Virginia Tech Hokies at Cameron Indoor Stadium on March 5, 2013 in Durham, North Carolina.  (Photo by Streeter Lecka/Getty Images)
Streeter Lecka/Getty Images

With the bracket set for the 2013 NCAA Tournament (printable version here), everyone is seemingly going to have their own take on who's going to be the big winners in March Madness.

We all think our bracket is perfect; we all think we've done research that nobody else has done and figured it all out. And yet every year, some upset team comes along and knocks out the top seeds that we were convinced were going to win the tournament.

Speaking from experience, No. 1 and 2 seeds are notoriously frustrating in bracket predictions and often succumb to the most unlikely of opponents. But this year can be different, as we take an early look at the top seeds most likely to ruin our brackets by falling in an early upset.

Read on to see the top seeds most likely to fall.


3. Gonzaga Bulldogs

Ranked as the No. 1 seed in the West, there's little doubt that Gonzaga is the team to beat in their region. They've played well all year, but big questions remain about whether they have what it takes to thrive in a high-pressure tournament like March Madness.

The Bulldogs ranked 97th in the country for strength of schedule this year, so the fact they finished with such an impressive record shouldn't stand for all that much. Particularly when they lost to two of the three seeded teams they played all year—Illinois and Butler.

Gonzaga is the top seed in the weakest region, and are a definite danger team to avoid this year. Pittsburgh could be a very tricky opponent in the third round whilst Wisconsin or Kansas State could cause the Bulldogs some problems in the Sweet 16.

It's hard to see the Bulldogs emerging from either of those games. 


2. Georgetown Hoyas

Georgetown have been very good all season and are a deserved No. 2 seed in the South region this year behind the Kansas Jayhawks. And whilst they aren't necessarily a bad team, the strength of opponents around the Hoyas this year means they could well fall in an upset.

San Diego State could await them in the third round of the tournament and can certainly challenge the Hoyas if their offense starts to heat up. The same goes for a top team like Florida who will await Georgetown in the Sweet 16.

It wouldn't be that big of an upset for the Hoyas to lose to the Gators, but to be out of the tournament in just the regional semifinals would be a shock.

Steer clear of banking on Georgetown to get the job done here. 


1. Duke Blue Devils

After an incredible run with Ryan Kelly back that had them poised as one of the top teams in the country, Duke didn't get the kindest of March Madness draws.

In fact, it wasn't even close.

The Blue Devils are placed in the hardest region there is this year, and have a number of big threats to their tournament chances in their first few games.

Cincinnati, Creighton, Valparaiso, Michigan State, Middle Tennessee and Memphis—Duke will be forced to play two of those teams just to make it through the regional finals, where they'll then have to get through the likes of Missouri, Saint Louis or Louisville.

The Blue Devils were shown to be beatable in the ACC 2013 Tournament by Maryland, and without a strong defense to back up their offensive production, will seriously struggle against the tight, disciplined teams they're likely to face.

Watch Duke to fall within their first three games of the NCAA Tournament.


Make your picks for the 2013 NCAA Tournament here with the Bracket Challenge Game, or print out your 2013 March Madness bracket here.


Which top seeds do you think will be upset in March Madness 2013?

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