Recent history suggests the recipe to win an NCAA championship consists of five ingredients:
1. NBA Talent: Every one of the past 25 national champions had at least one first-round NBA draft pick on the team. All but two had at least one lottery pick, and 15 of them had at least three first-round picks.
2. Pro-Caliber Point Guard: Of the 16 teams that reached the title game the past eight years, all but one had a point guard who was taken in the two-round NBA draft. The one exception was Kalin Lucas of 2005 runner-up Michigan State, and he was Big Ten player of the year that season.
3. Margin of Victory: Although it's helpful to be able to win close games, teams that dominate seem to be the postseason monsters. Nine of the past 11 national champions ranked among the nation's top five in average margin of victory, and five of them led the nation in that category.
No statistic correlates with national championships as consistently as margin of victory.
4. Power Conference: No team from outside one of the six power conferences (ACC, Big East, Big 12, Pac-12, SEC) has won a national championship since 1990.
5. Elite Coach: Each of the past 17 national champions had a head coach acknowledged as one of the nation's best. Only Tubby Smith (Kentucky, 1998) and Gary Williams (Maryland, 2002) might not fit that description, and they weren't chopped liver.
We'll start with several highly ranked teams that don't have enough of the proper ingredients. Then we'll continue by counting down the eight teams that come closest to having the recipe to win it all.