NFL Mock Draft 2013: Latest Projections for Each First Round Pick

Mike Moraitis@@michaelmoraitisAnalyst IFebruary 28, 2013

Feb 25, 2013; Indianapolis, IN, USA; Texas A&M Aggies defensive lineman Damontre Moore  watches others run the 40 yard dash after he pulled up during the NFL Combine at Lucas Oil Stadium.  Mandatory Credit: Brian Spurlock-USA TODAY Sports
Brian Spurlock-USA TODAY Sports

Now that the NFL Combine is complete, the first round is looking drastically different than it did just a few weeks ago as a result of each prospect's respective showing in the workouts.

On top of that, there are other players who are looking more and more like they have bust written all over them.

Granted, those players still have a chance to be drafted rather early in the first round, but a guy like Damontre Moore flat-out failed to produce at the combine and he's no longer a lock to be selected early on draft day.

It's absolutely incredible just how much of an impact the results of the combine can have as it can send players down the draft boards with just one workout—but that's just the harsh reality of the draft process.

Let's take a look at the latest projections for each first-round pick and which prospects are potential busts.

*Note: Potential busts are in italics. 


1. Kansas City Chiefs: Luke Joeckel, OT, Texas A&M

Now that the Chiefs look to have acquired quarterback Alex Smith from the San Francisco 49ers, KC can focus on another important need: offensive line. Joeckel is the best lineman in this year's class and he should bolster the Chiefs' ailing line.

2. Jacksonville Jaguars: Sharrif Floyd, DT, Florida

Thanks to a great showing at the combine, Floyd is shooting up to the top of the first round. That's good for the Jags because after their horrid numbers against the run last season, this team couldn't stop a high school rushing attack.

3. Oakland Raiders: Dion Jordan, DE, Oregon

The Raiders desperately need a pass rusher after ranking near the bottom of the league in sacks last season. Jordan's stock is at its highest after an impressive combine and he could be the answer at either defensive end or outside linebacker if necessary.

4. Philadelphia Eagles: Eric Fisher, OT, Central Michigan

Fisher solidified his status as the second-best tackle in this year's draft class after last weeks workouts. And he's a perfect fit for the Eagles, whose offensive line couldn't stop a nosebleed last season.

5. Detroit Lions: Dee Milliner, CB, Alabama

Despite a torn labrum in his shoulder, Milliner performed well at the combine and cemented himself as the best cornerback in the draft. The Lions' secondary was certainly lacking last season, so that makes Milliner a major upgrade at the position.

6. Cleveland Browns: Jarvis Jones, OLB, Georgia

Jones didn't perform at the combine for whatever reason, but he'll have another opportunity to do the same drills at Georgia's pro day. The concerns over his spinal stenosis condition will remain, but that's OK for the Browns because they could use a dominant pass rusher and Jones has the potential to be just that.

7. Arizona Cardinals: Geno Smith, QB, West Virginia

Smith did establish himself as the best quarterback in the draft after his combine workouts, but that isn't saying much considering this is a weak class of signal callers.

As far as athleticism is concerned, Smith proved his elite status in that category with great showings in the physical workouts, but he still doesn't figure to be a dual-threat quarterback at the next level.

Furthermore, Smith's passing drills performances weren't eye-popping by any means despite some nice throws. He had some trouble with his accuracy in throwing square-in routes, and he left some balls up in the air on deep balls that forced his receiver to slow down in order to make the catch.

Smith must be more accurate on passes over the middle of the field or else experienced linebackers and cornerbacks will make him pay time and time again.

The West Virginia product also didn't do much to promote what we thought to be the best arm strength in this year's class with his lackluster deep balls.

The combine wasn't a total waste for Smith, but he didn't erase the doubts about his ability to succeed in the NFL and he remains a risky pick this high in the first round.

8. Buffalo Bills: Matt Barkley, QB, USC

Buffalo is another team who could be looking for a quarterback in the first round and Barkley could be the name they call on draft day.

But the USC product wasn't able to throw at the combine after undergoing shoulder surgery and that still leaves his stock up in the air for the moment. Barkley will need to have a good pro day in March to solidify his spot in the top 10.

The knock on Barkley is that he doesn't do well with pressure in the pocket, and his arm strength is far from elite in regard to the other quarterbacks in this class. The biggest positives working for him are that he's an intelligent player and a good leader. Both are important traits NFL teams will like.

Had Barkley entered the draft last year, he would've been a certainty to go in the top 10.

However, thanks to a bad finish to his college career, health concerns and the other negatives about his game, he is no longer close to a lock in the NFL.

9. New York Jets: Barkevious Mingo, DE, LSU

With his currently soaring draft stock, Mingo could potentially go earlier in the first round, but if the Jets have an opportunity to grab him here they should. Head coach Rex Ryan's squad has been abysmal in the pass rush of late, so adding a stud like Mingo is a must.

10. Tennessee Titans: Chance Warmack, OG, Alabama

If the Titans want to make good on their investment in Chris Johnson, they must beef up the offensive line to help him out. Warmack is the most NFL-ready guard on the board with his size and strength, and he should be able to help Tennessee out from day one.

11. San Diego Chargers: Lane Johnson, OT, Oklahoma

Johnson had a sensational combine that displayed his strength, speed and great footwork all in one shot. The Chargers' offensive line was heavily lacking last season and Johnson could be the guy who gives Phillip Rivers some time to throw the ball.

12. Miami Dolphins: Xavier Rhodes, CB, Florida State

In order to improve their defense next season, the Dolphins must do a better job at stopping opposing passing attacks and that will take a major upgrade at the cornerback position. Rhodes will be the second-best corner on the board in this spot and should help bolster Miami's ailing secondary.

13. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Kenny Vaccaro, S, Texas

With the future of Ronde Barber once again in doubt, the Bucs need to start looking to the future at the safety position. Vaccaro is a versatile player who can play both safety positions and line up as a slot cornerback, and that type of value will be huge for the Bucs' abysmal pass defense.

14. Carolina Panthers: Star Lotulelei, DT, Utah

There's no question Lotulelei has a ton of talent, but questions will linger about his heart condition and that could impact his position on draft day. Considering we don't know the extent of his health issue yet, we can still assume he'd be a great addition to the Panthers defensive line up the middle.

15. New Orleans Saints: Bjoern Werner, DE, Florida State

Werner was once considered one of the top defensive linemen in this year's class, but that is quickly changing after a combine performance that did nothing to help him shine.

His bench press total of 25 was nothing special and didn't highlight his strength as a positive, while his 40-yard dash time of 4.83 doesn't show he can speed around opposing offensive linemen in the NFL.

Taking both of those numbers into consideration, Werner doesn't look to promising as either type of a defensive end, and he certainly isn't athletic enough to play outside linebacker if called on to do so.

It appears Werner is flaming out and isn't as highly touted as he once was. Still, the Saints desperately need some help on the edge and Werner will intrigue them enough to select him in the middle of the first round.


16. St. Louis Rams: Jonathan Cooper, OG, North Carolina

St. Louis would've loved to grab a tackle with its first pick, but all three of the best tackles in the class will be gone by this point. That isn't too big of a blow, however, as the Rams can still beef up the middle of their O-line by choosing a great athlete like Cooper.

17. Pittsburgh Steelers: Ezekiel Ansah, DE, BYU

The Steelers are reportedly "drooling" over Ansah as a potential 3-4 linebacker in their system, so this pick makes sense if it's available to them. The BYU product could be a great edge pass rusher, but Pittsburgh can turn him into a great linebacker at the pro level.

18. Dallas Cowboys: Sheldon Richardson, DT, Missouri

The Cowboys would love to add some help up the middle of their defensive line in order to improve on a lackluster showing against the run last season. Richardson will be their best chance to do just that in this spot.

19. New York Giants: Desmond Trufant, CB, Washington

The Giants are consistently getting beat deep on a weekly basis, so what better way to fix that problem than drafting the next best cornerback on the board. Trufant is a part of a great football family and had am impressive showing in the combine that will land him in the first round.

20. Chicago Bears: D.J. Fluker, OT, Alabama

The Bears allowed Jay Cutler to get beaten up pretty badly last season as they sent out a bad offensive line in every game. Drafting a stud like Fluker will give Cutler some support on the outside and could go a long way to preserving his concussion-filled career.

21. Cincinnati Bengals: Alec Ogletree, OLB, Georgia

Ogletree is another one of those versatile players who can fill several needs for the Bengals. Not only is he a solid linebacker in the traditional sense, but he can also dropback into coverage to defend some of the more talented receiving tight ends in the NFL.

22. St. Louis Rams (From Washington): Tavon Austin, WR, West Virginia

There's a pretty good chance the Rams lose Danny Amendola this offseason and that will leave a gaping hole in the slot for them. Austin proved he has the speed and explosiveness to be a stellar slot receiver in this league and he could be just the answer the Rams are looking for.

23. Minnesota Vikings: Cordarrelle Patterson, WR, Tennessee

Percy Harvin isn't exactly thrilled with the current state of affairs in the Vikings passing attack and that could force Minnesota to part ways with him down the road. If that happens, Patterson could fill the void or be a nice addition to a receiving corps that is lacking options.

24. Indianapolis Colts: Damontre Moore, DE, Texas A&M

Damontre Moore was once considered to be a top-five pick in the 2013 draft, but a horrid showing at the combine has caused his stock to slip considerably.

The biggest knock on Moore has been his lack of athleticism and that concern was proven to be true during the combine.

Moore posted a 40-yard dash mark of 4.95 and he didn't to much to prove he's a strong prospect after posting just 12 reps in the bench press. That total was good for last place among all participating defensive linemen.

Moore will have another opportunity to show his stuff at Texas A&M's pro day, but until then the doubts will remain about his viability in the NFL.

25. Seattle Seahawks: Barrett Jones, C, Alabama

The Seahawks need some help on the offensive line if they are going to give Russell Wilson the best protection possible. Jones is a great fit for Seattle as he has experience playing all over the offensive line and could fill multiple positions at the NFL level.

26. Green Bay Packers: Matt Elam, S, Florida

The Packers would love to add some offensive line help, but drafting one in this spot would mean they are reaching and that isn't always a wise choice. After deciding to wait until the later rounds to beef up their O-line, the Packers will take Elam in the hopes he can come close to replacing the departed Charles Woodson.

27. Houston Texans: Keenan Allen, WR, California

Houston needs to help take some pressure off of Andre Johnson in the passing game and adding another option for Matt Schaub wouldn't hurt either. Allen could line up in multiple spots on the field for the Texans and is an explosive receiver that opposing defenses will need to pay attention to.

28. Denver Broncos: Kevin Minter, ILB, LSU

The Broncos need to add some depth to their front seven and bolster their defense up the middle. Minter is a talented prospect who can make an impact right away. And even if he doesn't, he'll have plenty of time to develop with a talented front seven around him.

29. New England Patriots: Eric Reid, S, LSU

The Patriots can go in several different directions with this pick, but a talented safety like Reid will be too much to pass up. New England was horrendous against the pass last season, so Reid will be a welcomed addition to its secondary.

30. Atlanta Falcons: Tyler Eifert, TE, Notre Dame

Until the status of Tony Gonzalez is certain, the Falcons will look to replace his incredible production and Eifert is the guy to do just that. Not only is the Notre Dame product a talented receiver, but he is also improving his blocking skills and should be able to help Atlanta in multiple facets.

31. San Francisco 49ers: Sam Montgomery, DE, LSU

If there's anything the 49ers learned last season after all the injuries to their defense, it's that depth is vital. Adding a pass rusher like Montgomery late in the first round will solve the depth issue.

32. Baltimore Ravens: Jesse Williams, DT, Alabama

The Ravens would have liked to add a linebacker in this spot, but a bad performance by Manti Te'o at the combine will halt that idea for now. Instead, the Ravens will go after defensive line help and depth, and adding Williams will accomplish that.


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