Geno Smith: Analyzing QB's Draft Stock After Alex Smith Trade to Chiefs

Jesse ReedCorrespondent IFebruary 27, 2013

MORGANTOWN, WV - NOVEMBER 03:  Geno Smith #12 of the West Virginia Mountaineers drops back to pass against the TCU Horned Frogs during the game on November 3, 2012 at Mountaineer Field in Morgantown, West Virginia.  (Photo by Justin K. Aller/Getty Images)
Justin K. Aller/Getty Images

Geno Smith won't be the No. 1 pick of the 2013 NFL draft now that the Kansas City Chiefs have reportedly completed a trade with the San Francisco 49ers for quarterback Alex Smith.

Fox Sports' Jay Glazer first reported the trade: 

ESPN's Adam Schefter confirmed the report, adding that the Chiefs will give the 49ers their second-round pick in this year's draft, along with "another conditional mid-round pick in 2014."

Now that the Chiefs have reportedly met the obvious need they had for a quarterback, there's more clarity to the top of the draft.

According to NFL Network's Ian Rapoport, Luke Joeckel is the man the Chiefs will likely target with the No. 1 overall pick.


What does this mean for Smith?

In the grand scheme of things, this reported trade won't affect Smith's stock. The Chiefs were already leaning toward not taking a quarterback with the No. 1 overall pick.

The young man did himself proud at the 2013 NFL Scouting Combine, posting top-two marks in the three measurable drills he participated in and displaying nice touch on his deep passes. Smith's 4.59-second 40 time was the fastest time of any quarterback in Indy, as was his 124-inch broad jump. 

He struggled on some of the shorter throws, but he didn't do anything to negatively impact his draft stock. Scouts were already aware of his deficiencies, all of which are correctable with proper and consistent mechanics.

Smith distanced himself from his closest competition, and it's clear he'll be the first quarterback taken this spring.


Where will he land?

There are a number of different possibilities here for Smith.

It won't shock anyone to see the Oakland Raiders take him at No. 3 overall. Bleacher Report's Matt Miller has been saying for a while now that the Raiders are intrigued by him. And given the way Oakland is attempting to restructure Carson Palmer's deal (h/t ESPN's Schefter), it's clear the team isn't sold on him. 

If Smith falls past Oakland, he could be drafted by the Cleveland Browns (No. 6), Arizona Cardinals (No. 7), Buffalo Bills (No. 8) or the New York Jets (No. 9). 

It's tough to see him falling any farther than that.

Smith is a talented young man with all the physical tools to become a franchise quarterback.

He isn't as refined as Andrew Luck, isn't as athletic as Robert Griffin III or as charismatic as Russell Wilson, but he's going to be taken early in Round 1 of the 2013 NFL draft.

You can count on that. 


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