2013 NFL Mock Draft: Latest Odds for Every First-Round Pick

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2013 NFL Mock Draft: Latest Odds for Every First-Round Pick
Brian Spurlock-USA TODAY Sports
Desmond Trufant improved his draft stock with an awesome dew in Indianapolis.

The 2013 NFL Scouting Combine altered perspective regarding the draft.

Obviously players such as Notre Dame's Manti Te'o disappointed, but others such as Washington's Desmond Trufant inflated stock as we enter March.

In a class that is overrun by an abundance of talent along the offensive and defensive lines, odds for every prospect are fascinating to say the least. And it's because not every team needs to improve up front on either side, but the positions run incredibly deep compared to quarterbacks or running backs.

To that end, let's check a post-combine 2013 NFL mock draft with odds as we edge closer to late April.

Note: Highlighted players in italics. 

 

1. Kansas City Chiefs: Luke Joeckel, Tackle (Texas A&M)

According to Jay Glazer of FOX Sports, Kansas City got its quarterback from San Francisco:

This is an excellent step in the right direction for Kansas City. Alex Smith is capable of immediately leading the Chiefs to a quick turnaround, and drafting Joeckel quickly gives balance to the offense.

The Chiefs already field a strong running game in Jamaal Charles, but the addition of Joeckel takes him to another level. After all, he protected Johnny Manziel emphatically well, which gave him the luxury of dazzling opponents en route to a Heisman Trophy.

Smith also brings solid mobility when needed and Joeckel's size will wall off the edge. As a result, K.C. moves the rock efficiently and produces more points when in scoring position. If anything, Joeckel's talent as a pass-blocker reduces quarterback pressure and the potential of turnovers.

Odds: 1 in 2


2. Jacksonville Jaguars: Bjoern Werner, DE (Florida State)

The Jaguars didn't field a reliable pass rush or run defense in 2012. Bjoern Werner brings the instincts and playmaking talent to squeeze the edge and get pressure. He'll also draw double-teams to let the rest of the front seven make plays.

Odds: 1 in 3

 

3. Oakland Raiders: Star Lotulelei, DT (Utah)

First, according to Chris Mortensen of ESPN.com:

Star Lotulelei, one of the elite prospects for the 2013 NFL draft, will not be allowed to work out Monday at the scouting combine after an echocardiogram revealed that the former Utah defensive tackle has a heart condition that requires more testing.

For as concerning as this is regarding Star Lotulelei, he remains a top draft prospect. And after a dominant college career, his strength, power and quickness will impact anywhere along Oakland's defensive line. Plus the Raiders are aging up front and struggled against the run last season.

Odds: 1 in 3


4. Philadelphia Eagles: Eric Fisher, Tackle (Central Michigan)

Eric Fisher solidified himself as a top offensive lineman at the combine. Factor that performance with Philadelphia's need for better pass protection and polished running lanes, and Fisher is a great fit. If anything, his explosiveness will complement Chip Kelly's offense quite well.

Odds: 1 in 3

 

5. Detroit Lions: Dee Milliner, CB (Alabama)

Allowing a 63.6 completion percentage and 26 passing touchdowns cost Detroit a great deal in 2012. The Lions field a competitive advantage with Calvin Johnson, but they need a defense capable of slowing opponents down. Adding Dee Milliner will take away half the field and get Detroit into the playoff mix.

Odds: 1 in 3

 

 6. Cleveland Browns: Ezekiel Ansah, DE (BYU)

Even though Ezekiel Ansah has just one great college season under his belt, he has only continued to impress since lining up for BYU. After logging 62 tackles, 13 for loss and defending nine passes, Ansah followed up with a strong Senior Bowl performance.

As for the combine, Ansah bolted to 4.63 seconds on the 40-yard dash and 4.26 seconds on the 20-yard shuttle. Considering that he measured at 6'5", 271 pounds, Ansah is the complete package of strength, power, explosiveness, lateral agility and instincts.

The Browns fielded a decent pass rush last fall by recording 38 sacks, but Cleveland also gave up 4.2 yards per rush. Lacking an elite pass rush, though, affected the secondary and the Browns gave up 27 passing scores with a 63 completion percentage.

Ansah's complete skill set gives Cleveland a more dependable pass rush and he'll constrict the edge against the run. Factor in his size and athleticism, and the Browns also have the option—depending on the game situation—to mix up between a 4-3 and 3-4 front.

Any way you slice it, Ansah will produce for Cleveland and quicken the rebuilding process.

Odds: 1 in 4

 

7. Arizona Cardinals: Chance Warmack, Guard (Alabama)

Arizona possessed the worst pass protection and rushing offense last season. That also means only improving will occur in 2013. Selecting Chance Warmack will simply speed up the process because he provides excellent footwork to create lanes and the balance to form a wall within the pocket's interior.

Odds: 1 in 4


8. Buffalo Bills: Dion Jordan, DE (Oregon)

Picture Buffalo's pass rush with Dion Jordan and Mario Williams: It's quite impressive. The Bills also need to stuff better against the run, and Jordan's athleticism will contain the edge. At the same time, his size and quickness will allow Buffalo to mix up defensive line stunts in strict passing situations.

Odds: 1 in 4


9. New York Jets: Jarvis Jones, LB (Georgia)

Rex Ryan has to get impact players in his front seven. Jarvis Jones is the perfect answer, as his forte is quarterback pressure and generating turnovers. And as long as he continues to develop against the run, New York will control the line of scrimmage much better next fall.

Odds: 1 in 5


10. Tennessee Titans: Xavier Rhodes, CB (Florida State)

Brian Spurlock-USA TODAY Sports

Xavier Rhodes only helped himself at the combine, displaying solid acceleration and top speed. He also measured at 6'1", 210 pounds. Mesh together size, strength and athleticism, and Tennessee drastically upgrades its pass defense that allowed a 66.3 completion percentage and 31 passing scores last season.

Odds: 1 in 4

 

11. San Diego Chargers: Lane Johnson, Tackle (Oklahoma)

Lane Johnson is arguably the most athletic offensive lineman in the draft. Well, the Chargers have to get Philip Rivers more reliable pocket protection and a guy capable of extending running lanes. Johnson supplies each, as well as the quickness to reach block downfield from the backside.

Odds: 1 in 4


12. Miami Dolphins: Cordarrelle Patterson, WR (Tennessee)

A strong showing at the combine enhanced the appeal of Cordarrelle Patterson. In addition, the Dolphins have to land a deep threat target also capable of accumulating yards after the catch. Patterson offers both and the size to stock block cornerbacks and safeties to help establish a better ground game.

Odds: 1 in 3


13. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Kenny Vaccaro, Safety (Texas)

The NFC South is a pass-oriented division. Tampa Bay ranked No. 32 in pass defense last season. Obviously this calls to address the coverage, which amplifies the need of Kenny Vaccaro. Easily the draft's best safety prospect, Vaccaro has the lateral body control and acceleration to lock down man-to-man. His field awareness also helps in zone and for filling edge-running lanes.

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Odds: 1 in 3

 

14. Carolina Panthers: Sharrif Floyd, DT (Florida)

The Panthers also need defense in the NFC South, but more so regarding the line of scrimmage. Although Charles Johnson is a reliable sack-master, drafting Sharrif Floyd takes care of the interior against the run and pass. In short, the secondary is then provided with more turnover opportunities from an improved rush.

Odds: 1 in 5

 

15. New Orleans Saints: Sheldon Richardson, DT (Missouri)

As long as the Saints address their defense, 2013 will be an improvement on 2012. The offense can score and move the rock at will, so picking Sheldon Richardson allows New Orleans to stuff better against the run. Once the Big Easy controls the line more and forces more punts, Drew Brees and the offense will dominate to another level.

Odds: 1 in 5


16. St. Louis Rams: Jonathan Cooper, Guard (North Carolina)

St. Louis was on the brink of the postseason in 2012. The Rams become tougher contenders in 2013 because Jonathan Cooper is an athletic interior lineman capable of sealing lanes and creating a wall of pass protection for Sam Bradford. The end result will be a more balanced offense to move in the defensively rough NFC West.

Odds: 1 in 7


17. Pittsburgh Steelers: Barkevious Mingo, LB (LSU)

Pittsburgh must look to spruce up its pass rush next season. LSU's Barkevious Mingo fits perfectly because he brings the size and top speed to immediately get pressure off the edge.

He flew to 4.58 seconds on the 40-yard dash at the combine, as well as 6.84 seconds on the three-cone drill. This quick agility, body control and balance will increase the Steelers' pass rush and Mingo will also develop more against the run.

Dick LeBeau's front seven still possesses the talent to stuff running lanes and keep Mingo within a limited role. So, he's not a risk in the middle of Round 1 and Pittsburgh needs youth up front anyway.

Larry Foote, James Harrison and Brett Keisel are only continuing to age and Mingo will impact from the start. Just with his size and speed alone, he can line up at defensive end or outside 'backer, and he also plays with sound discipline to prevent anything developing on the outside.

Opponents then move the ball even less against Pittsburgh and Mike Tomlin's team returns to the postseason mix.

Odds: 1 in 7

 

18. Dallas Cowboys: John Jenkins, DT (Georgia)

The Cowboys have to find a way to stop the run next season. Therefore, welcome John Jenkins to the defensive line. His size will draw double-teams and Jenkins' explosive power can also close running lanes. Jenkins isn't a bad pass-rusher either because he'll flush the quarterback out of the pocket and right to the edge-rushers.

Odds: 1 in 8


19. New York Giants: Sylvester Williams, DT (North Carolina)

New York failed to dominate opponents in the trenches last season. Allowing 4.6 yards per rush, Sylvester Williams is a great pick for the Giants. His athleticism will plug multiple gaps along the line and he won't constantly face double-teams with Jason Pierre-Paul and Justin Tuck as dependable complements.

Odds: 1 in 8

 

20. Chicago Bears: D.J. Fluker, OT (Alabama)

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Providing Jay Cutler with a better offensive line will make Chicago's offense quite explosive. D.J. Fluker is a sound run-blocker, so that aspect will keep Matt Forte and Michael Bush rolling. A byproduct makes the play-action pass more effective, which in turn allows Brandon Marshall to stretch defenses and keep the Bears balanced.

Odds: 1 in 8

 

21. Cincinnati Bengals: Matt Elam, Safety (Florida)

The Bengals need stronger coverage to back up the solid pass rush. Matt Elam brings the tenacious skill set to roll down for blitzing linebackers and shield in man coverage. His lateral quickness and ability to maintain body control will increase Cincinnati's number of forced turnovers and reduce the completion percentage allowed.

Odds: 1 in 10

 

22. St. Louis Rams (via WAS): Terrance Williams: WR (Baylor)

Terrance Williams is a good sized receiver with the speed to press defensive backs downfield. That big play potential complements the earlier selection of Cooper because St. Louis fields balance with explosiveness. In a tough division, that deep threat receiver becomes a distinct advantage.

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Odds: 1 in 10

 

23. Minnesota Vikings: Keenan Allen, WR (California)

Despite not presenting a stellar passing offense in 2012, Minnesota still saw Adrian Peterson tear up defenses. Factor in rookie receiver Keenan Allen, though, and the Vikings field a better aerial assault. With the athleticism to out-jump man coverage defenders, opponents will need to honor Minnesota's passing game a bit more. Ultimately, Peterson simply becomes more efficient.

Odd: 1 in 10


24. Indianapolis Colts: Damontre Moore, DE (Texas)

Damontre Moore managed just 12 reps on the bench press at the combine, so clearly he must build strength. Still, the guy offers impressive explosiveness to the position. Indianapolis needs more from its pass rush and Moore's overall athleticism can impact as a defensive end or rush linebacker.

Odds: 1 in 12


25. Seattle Seahawks: Kawann Short, DT (Purdue)

To become an incredibly dominant defense, the Seahawks must improve against the run and their pass rush. Kawann Short will help each aspect because the guy wrecked backfields throughout college. The end result will be stuffed running lanes and additional quarterback pressure to generate turnovers.

Odds: 1 in 12


26. Green Bay Packers: Barrett Jones, Center (Alabama)

Although Aaron Rodgers was sacked 51 times during the regular season, his overall efficiency did not stumble in 2012. The Packers just needed a more reliable offensive line to pass protect and set up the run. Barrett Jones suits nicely as an experience player with much versatility. Giving Rodgers more time to survey makes Green Bay more dangerous in 2013.

Odds: 1 in 15


27. Houston Texans: Johnthan Banks, CB (Mississippi State)

Defending the pass better against elite quarterbacks will get Houston to the next level. Johnthan Banks possesses the playmaking talent to blanket in zone or man coverage because of sound quickness and ball skills. His size will also help with press coverage and perimeter run support.

Odds: 1 in 17


28. Denver Broncos: Desmond Trufant, CB (Washington)

The Broncos can go a few ways in Round 1 because the defense was exploited by the Ravens in the postseason.

Here, we have Washington's Desmond Trufant who defended 38 passes and recorded 195 tackles from 2009 through 2012. Given that Champ Bailey is turning 35 years old before the season, adding Trufant helps with the secondary's future.

Plus the guy darted to 4.38 seconds on the 40-yard dash and 3.85 seconds on the 20-yard shuttle. Include an explosive 37.5-inch vertical leap and 16 reps on the bench and Trufant provides power and explosiveness.

He's a reliable tackler, possesses the size to jam at the line and can also help against the run. With the acceleration and top speed to cover man-to-man, Denver can run more Cover 1 and 3 while blitzing in front.

Already fielding the offense to score, the Broncos allow fewer big plays defensively and lock down inside the red zone.

Odds: 1 in 17

 

29. New England Patriots: John Cyprien, Safety (Florida International)

John Cyprien is a reach for the Patriots at the end of Round 1, but he's also a consistently reliable tackler and coverage defender. Presenting the size to roll down and assist versus the run, Cyprien's explosiveness is also capable of reading in any deep zone. In short, New England gets dependable coverage over the middle at every field dimension.

Odds: 1 in 20


30. Atlanta Falcons: Tyler Eifert, TE (Notre Dame)

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No matter what happens with Tony Gonzalez, the Falcons have to get top-talented youth at tight end sooner than later. Tyler Eifert is the best option in 2013 courtesy of his receiving talent and underrated run-blocking ability. Include Julio Jones and Roddy White, and Eifert immediately thrives with Atlanta.

Odds: 1 in 20


31. San Francisco 49ers: Jesse Williams, DT (Alabama)

San Francisco isn't getting any younger along the defensive line. Therefore, landing Jesse Williams will replenish youth and talent for Jim Harbaugh's front seven. Possessing the toughness and power to split double-teams and close running lanes, Williams will flourish in the Bay Area. Considering the skill set of San Francisco's linebackers, he gets numerous playmaking opportunities next season.

Odds: 1 in 25

 

32. Baltimore Ravens: Alec Ogletree, LB (Georgia)

Alec Ogletree drops to No. 32 because according to Mike Florio of Pro Football Talk before the combine:

Former Georgia linebacker Alec Ogletree, a likely first-round pick in the 2013 draft and one of the top prospects at inside linebacker, was arrested recently for DUI.

It’s not the first red flag on Ogletree’s record.  During the 2012 college football season, Ogletree was suspended four games by the Bulldogs after a positive drug test.

That said, the dynamics of Alec Ogletree fill what Baltimore needs. He's laterally quick, brings an impressive top gear and knows how to make plays in coverage. Plus the rest of the Ravens' front seven talent will allow him to develop quickly.

Odds: 1 in 25

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