Fantasy Baseball 2013: Players Who Will Be Overrated Heading into Draft Day

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Fantasy Baseball 2013: Players Who Will Be Overrated Heading into Draft Day
Victor Decolongon/Getty Images
Angels' outfielder Josh Hamilton will need to avoid temptation in Los Angeles

While big names in baseball stand out during fantasy drafts—Miguel Cabrera, Mike Trout and Matt Kemp, many of those household names are overrated heading into 2013.

The casual fantasy baseball player will automatically look at mock drafts, and just allow the top-rated players to fall to their spot as their draft moves on.

However, there are a number of players who are overvalued this fantasy season and could end up hurting their owners later in the year.

Josh Hamilton, OF, Los Angeles Angles

The former Texas Ranger is a hot name this offseason after he was signed to the Angles during free agency.

In mock expert fantasy drafts for Fox Sports and Sports Illustrated, Hamilton went early in the second round.

By the time the season plays out, there is a strong possibility that the 31-year-old won't live up to expectations.

With his past struggles with alcohol and substance abuse, it's not unreasonable to think that Hamilton could face those temptations again in Los Angeles.

Even if he avoids those temptations, there is no question they could be a distraction.

In 2012, he had an up-and-down season, and although he put up major numbers, he really struggled midseason.

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Hamilton only hit .177 and had 11 RBI in July—then slumped again in September, hitting .259 and striking out 31 times.

He might do well surrounded by the other bats in the Angles' lineup, but by the end of the season Hamilton won't work out to be worth a high second-round pick.

Justin Upton, OF, Atlanta Braves

Like Hamilton, many baseball fans and analysts believe that Upton will benefit in 2013 from a change of scenery.

Traded to Atlanta after spending six seasons with the Arizona Diamondbacks, Upton is now in Atlanta, playing with his brother, B.J.

Atlanta might be a better fit for Upton, but he didn't put up the numbers in 2012 to justify being the No. 24 overall pick in the Fox mock draft and No. 20 overall in the SI draft. 

Upton struggled last season, especially in the power department, slugging .430, his lowest since his rookie season.

Only hitting 17 homers as well, 14 less than he hit in 2011.

Upton did score 107 runs, but his numbers in doubles, triples, stolen bases and RBI were all down from the previous year.

Upton might perform better for his new team—don't expect him to be at the top of the fantasy rankings at the end of the season.

Christian Petersen/Getty Images
Justin Upton, formerly of the Arizona Diamondbacks, slumped last season in homers and RBI.

 

Mike Trout, OF, Los Angeles Angles

There is no doubting that Mike Trout is one of the future stars in the MLB, but now is not the time to be taking him No. 1 overall in fantasy drafts.

In the Fox draft, he went No. 1 overall and No. 2 overall in the SI draft.

When selecting Trout that high, there has to be a concern that he won't perform as well as some of the players drafted behind him.

Trout's weight has to be a concern for fantasy owners. He reported to spring training at 241 pounds.

That's about 10 to 15 pounds heavier than he was during the 2012 regular season, according to the Los Angeles times

The Times also reported that Trout was five pounds heavier than Angles' slugger Albert Pujols.

Trout is a perfectly viable mid to late first-round pick, but he's not deserving of going over players like Cabrera or McCutchen.

In 2012, McCutchen put up better numbers than Trout in hits, doubles, RBI and he had less strikeouts.

Same goes for Cabrera—and a better batting average. 

There's no doubting that Trout is a great player, but a season or two needs to go by before owners are ready to take him No. 1 overall.

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