2013 NFL Draft Predictions: Projecting Which Teams Will Land a QB in Round 1

Richard LangfordCorrespondent IFebruary 18, 2013

Aug 30, 2012; Green Bay, WI, USA;   Kansas City Chiefs quarterback Matt Cassel (7) and quarterback Brady Quinn (9) warm up before game against the Green Bay Packers at Lambeau Field.  Mandatory Credit: Benny Sieu-USA TODAY Sports
Benny Sieu-USA TODAY Sports

In the 2013 NFL draft, quarterbacks are going to go higher than many are expecting. After all, there are numerous quarterback-needy teams, and this will lead to several jumping at the chance to grab the best quarterback on their board.

In all, I see three quarterbacks going in the first round. While I wouldn't be shocked to see a fourth go at the tail end of the first round, after a team trades up, I see teams waiting until the second to grab a quarterback outside of the top three. 

So, without further ado, here are the three teams who will draft a quarterback in the first round. 


No. 1: Kansas City Chiefs: Geno Smith, QB, West Virginia

Andy Reid is a pass-happy coach and his new team is severely lacking in arm talent. This is no secret, the Chiefs' quarterback issues have been an ongoing detriment to the franchise.

Unfortunately for the Chiefs, they fell to the No. 1 pick a season too late. Last year, the draft featured two quarterbacks who everyone knew needed to be the first two names off the board. 

This year is different. Geno Smith, while clearly the most talented quarterback in this draft, is a bit of a gamble at the No. 1 overall selection. 

However, Reid and the Chiefs will not let this opportunity pass without grabbing a signal-caller. 

Smith actually reminds me a lot of Reid's old quarterback Donovan McNabb.

There are differences: Smith is a more polished passer than McNabb was coming out of college and McNabb was a better runner. However, Reid will certainly see enough similarities to know that Smith can run Reid's offense.

No. 7: Arizona Cardinals: Tyler Wilson, QB, Arkansas

Larry Fitzgerald undoubtedly is firmly on board with the Arizona Cardinals taking a quarterback in the first round.

The All-Pro receiver has suffered through some astonishingly terrible quarterback play. This team has to find a quarterback it can build around. 

With Smith off the board, it will leave the Cardinals to choose between two similar quarterbacks in Tyler Wilson and USC's Matt Barkley.

Both of these quarterbacks have solid accuracy, decent arm strength, size and mobility, while showing the ability to read defenses and succeed in a pro-style system.

Given these two being so close in ability, I see the Cardinals going with Wilson, to help avoid the possibility of drafting Matt Leinart version 2.0.  


No. 8: Buffalo Bills: Matt Barkley, QB, USC

Ryan Fitzpatrick has been far better for the Bills than anything the Cardinals have received. He is also under contract through the 2017 season. 

However, this certainly doesn't mean that Fitzpatrick has been a solid quarterback or worth his contract. Fitzpatrick turned in a career-best 83.3 quarterback rating last season—but this is a limited quarterback who lacks consistency. 

The Bills will be sitting at No. 8 with the chance to draft an upgrade at quarterback, and they will jump at the chance to take it. 

While Barkley failed to meet lofty expectations in his senior year, he is still a polished and poised quarterback who can already make all the NFL throws.