The Kansas City Chiefs would be foolish to draft a quarterback with the No. 1 overall pick of the 2013 NFL draft, and the Chiefs aren't the only team that should avoid a signal-caller in Round 1.
Via the Kansas City Star's Adam Teicher, Chiefs general manager John Dorsey recently said:
There is no quarterback where personnel guys can definitely say, ‘He’s a first-round pick.’ There were so many inconsistencies in the collective group. There was not one guy that stood up and said, ‘I’m the guy in the position this year.’ There really wasn’t one clear-cut guy. There are too many technical flaws, scheme flaws.
Many experts have been saying similar things about this year's draft class for months now and it's refreshing to hear an NFL personnel man voice these concerns.
Geno Smith, Ryan Nassib, Tyler Wilson, Matt Barkley and Mike Glennon have all made appearances in Round 1 of mock drafts since the 2012 season began, but the truth of the matter is that none of them would be drafted on Day 1 if teams were drafting based purely on value.
My personal big board has every quarterback in this year's draft class grading out as a second-round pick or later. So, which teams need to avoid the temptation of reaching for a quarterback this April?
Kansas City Chiefs (No. 1 Overall)
There's no doubt that the Chiefs are in desperate need of a quarterback or two this upcoming season. Neither Brady Quinn nor Matt Cassel is a starting-caliber NFL quarterback. Between the two of them last year, they threw just eight touchdowns compared to 20 interceptions.
But reaching for Smith with the No. 1 overall pick would be an utter disaster.
He's nowhere near ready to take over the offense right away from a mental standpoint, and his physical gifts aren't impressive enough to warrant the pick on their own.
An ideal move would be for the Chiefs to land Alex Smith, allowing the team to focus on other needs with the No. 1 overall pick.
The dream scenario for Kansas City would be to find a trade partner to stock up on picks, but that's not likely to happen. Instead, the Chiefs would be wise to let Brandon Albert test the free-agent market and draft Luke Joeckel to take his place.
Arizona Cardinals (No. 7 Overall)
Kevin Kolb may not be a franchise quarterback, but he's a better option in 2012 as a starter than any of the quarterbacks in this year's draft class.
The biggest issue facing the Cardinals in 2013 is their offensive line. Arizona needs to draft multiple linemen to shore up the NFL's worst offensive line in 2012.
One strategy might be to trade down a bit into the bottom half of Round 1, but if Eric Fisher is still on the board with the No. 7 pick, Arizona would be foolish to take a risky quarterback instead of drafting this young man.
If the team were able to trade down, guard Jonathan Cooper would be a terrific addition to the interior of the line, and Lane Johnson would be an ideal pick at tackle.
Buffalo Bills (No. 8 Overall)
The latest reports out of Buffalo indicate the Bills might already be leaning away from drafting a quarterback in Round 1.
"I spoke with Ryan (Fitzpatrick) and Tarvaris (Jackson) and told them we will have an open competition at the quarterback position," [Doug] Marrone said, "similar to what we will do at all positions on our team heading into our offseason work."
Bills fans are surely groaning about this statement, considering the fact that neither Fitzpatrick nor Jackson has inspired much confidence in their time in the NFL. But the truth of the matter is that both players give the Bills just as much chance to win this year than any quarterback in the draft.
Buffalo will likely be looking to add a signal-caller after Round 1, but it would be smart to avoid the pitfall of reaching for one on Day 1 of the 2013 NFL draft.
Tyler Wilson seems like he'd be the best fit for Buffalo, given his strong arm and leadership qualities, and if he's not available in Round 2 then perhaps Marrone will team up with Nassib.
Buffalo would be smart to look for defensive help with the No. 8 overall pick, and it wouldn't shock me to see it draft a pass-rusher to compensate for Mark Anderson—a bitter disappointment from last year's free-agency splurge.
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