Drafting a quarterback seems like a good idea, but there is no consensus on if any of the quarterback prospects deserve to be drafted that high. In terms of maximizing value, an argument can be made for waiting until the second round to draft a quarterback that fits Andy Reid’s scheme.
If the Chiefs do wait to draft a quarterback, it’s worth wondering which quarterback they would target.
According to Tony Pauline of DraftInsider.net, the Chiefs are one of three teams that think highly of former Syracuse quarterback Ryan Nassib. Interest in Nassib would certainly fit with the idea that the Chiefs could go in another direction with the first pick.
Players like Luke Joeckel, Star Lotulelei and Dee Milliner would become popular options to end up in Kansas City if it doesn't use the first pick on a quarterback. If the Chiefs are confident they could land Nassib and he can be an instant starter, it would be an easy choice to make.
It’s possible the Chiefs would have to trade back into the end of the first round to ensure they get Nassib. With other teams interested in him, the Chiefs can’t simply wait for him to drop into their lap—even if he’s not worth a first-round pick.
Russ Lande of the National Football Post has Nassib as his top overall player, which runs counter to the idea that there isn’t a quarterback worth a first-round pick.
Lande has no other quarterback in his top 32 picks, which highlights how wildly opinions vary on the quarterback prospects.
There is still free agency ahead, which can change things, but signs certainly seem to be pointing away from the Chiefs selecting a quarterback with their first pick. Nassib is the one quarterback generating a lot of buzz, but that could easily shift to some of the other signal-callers as the draft nears.
Perhaps the most interesting thing about the Chiefs passing on a quarterback isn’t the quarterback they select, but what they do with the first pick.
Joeckel would become the favorite, unless Branden Albert is retained, but the Chiefs could also go in several other directions with the pick.
Can you trust any draft information this time of year?
The Chiefs need a defensive lineman and there are several good ones available, but the fans could react negatively to yet another first-round pick used on a 3-4 defensive lineman that doesn’t have a huge impact. Cornerback could also come into play, with the Chiefs needing a complement opposite Brandon Flowers.
There hasn’t been a draft in over five years with so much variance and how the first round plays out hinges on the Chiefs and the quarterback position. If they decide to pass on a quarterback in the first round and go after someone like Nassib later, there could be a frenzied push for the top quarterbacks by the teams drafting in the top 10.
There’s also a strong possibility that all the information coming out this time of year is leaked by teams for the purpose of disguising what they really want to do. Teams will often throw out misinformation about themselves or other teams to try to create demand for a trade.
Sometimes, the prospects flying under the radar are the ones teams like the most.