NBA Draft 2013: Analyzing the Top Freshmen Prospects

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NBA Draft 2013: Analyzing the Top Freshmen Prospects
Mark Zerof-USA TODAY Sports

The 2013 NBA draft is feeling a lot like the 2012 draft.  Last year we had Anthony Davis as a clear No. 1 pick; this year the top player clearly seems to be Nerlens Noel.  We then have a bunch of other talented freshmen, but it is hard to decipher how dominant they can become as pros.

In 2012, freshmen Michael Kidd-Gilchrist and Bradley Beal were both regarded as much better prospects than Andre Drummond.  Eight months later, we can say that was a mistake.  Drummond had a weak freshman year at UConn, but would surely be picked in the top two if the draft was to happen again today.

This year, we could see the same thing happen again. Freshmen are hard to gauge.  Unless a prospect seems clearly superior, like Noel, it can be very easy to overrate or underrate their long-term pro potential.

So, instead of giving you a list of who I think the best freshmen players in the country are, I would like to explore some of the main questions we have concerning each one of them.  

The following is my current preferential order of the top freshman, but the whole point is that the order could dramatically change by June.  We don't usually have much to go by with freshmen, and we are likely to change our opinion on them rather fluidly.

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