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Regular Season Record Projections for Every MLB Team in 2013

Joel ReuterFeatured ColumnistFebruary 5, 2013

Regular Season Record Projections for Every MLB Team in 2013

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    With the vast majority of the offseason's wheelings and dealings in the rearview mirror and spring training right around the corner, baseball is upon us.

    For now though, we are still left analyzing how each team may fare this coming season based on how they look on paper. 

    Things rarely go as expected in the MLB, as there were few, if any, pundits who had the Orioles and A's making the postseason last year. 

    Despite that, here are my projections for all 30 MLB teams' regular season records for 2013.

AL East

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    Predicted Standings (postseason team(s) in bold)

    1. Toronto Blue Jays (91-71)
    2. Tampa Bay Rays (89-73)
    3. New York Yankees (85-77)
    4. Baltimore Orioles (83-79)
    5. Boston Red Sox (80-82)

     

    Summary

    The AL East should continue to be a dog fight this coming season, and the new-look Blue Jays are my pick to come away with the division title.

    The Rays dealt a pair of key arms in James Shields and Wade Davis, but top prospect Wil Myers could make a major difference in the middle of the lineup down the stretch and I expect them to earn one of the wild-card spots.

    The Yankees are another year older, and the Orioles had a lot break in their favor last season, so while they are both solid teams I expect a drop in wins for both of them.

    The Red Sox finished a distant fifth last season at 69-93, and while their busy offseason of veteran additions should allow them to improve significantly on that number I still expect them to finish in the cellar.

AL Central

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    Predicted Standings (postseason team(s) in bold)

    1. Detroit Tigers (95-67)
    2. Kansas City Royals (82-80)
    3. Chicago White Sox (79-83)
    4. Cleveland Indians (74-88)
    5. Minnesota Twins (65-97)

     

    Summary

    The Tigers remain the class of the AL Central, and after needing a strong late-season push to overcome the White Sox last season I expect them to run away with the division this year.

    The Royals have completely overhauled their starting rotation with the additions of James Shields, Wade Davis and Ervin Santana as well as the re-signing of Jeremy Guthrie. If their young hitters can take another step forward combined with the new staff they could put together their first winning season since 2003.

    The White Sox collapsed down the stretch last year to miss out on the postseason, and there is always the threat of guys like Adam Dunn, Alex Rios and Jake Peavy regressing after bounce-back seasons last year.

    The Indians added some solid veteran pieces this offseason, highlighted by Nick Swisher, Mark Reynolds and Brett Myers and that should make for a solid upgrade over their 68 wins from last year and put some distance between themselves and the Twins for last place. 

AL West

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    Predicted Standings (postseason team(s) in bold)

    1. Los Angeles Angels (90-72)
    2. Oakland Athletics (88-74)
    3. Texas Rangers (87-75)
    4. Seattle Mariners (77-85)
    5. Houston Astros (50-112) 

     

    Summary

    Signing Albert Pujols and C.J. Wilson wasn't enough to propel the Angels into the postseason last year, as they won 89 games and finished third in the division. Now with the addition of Josh Hamilton, the overhauling of their rotation and the bolstering of their bullpen, they're in a position to take home the title.

    It won't be easy for the Angles though, as the Rangers and A's will be close behind and battling for a postseason spot. I give the nod to the A's, who won't take anyone by surprise this coming season, but have a terrific young core that should lead to sustained success.

    The Mariners actually played better than expected last year in winning 75 games, and with Kendrys Morales and Michael Morse added to bolster their lineup and a number of top-tier prospects ready to make an impact, they should continue to improve.

    Then there's the Astros, who won't have any easier time of it in their first year in the AL West and are a lock to eclipse the 100-loss mark once again this season.

NL East

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    Predicted Standings (postseason team(s) in bold)

    1. Washington Nationals (97-65)
    2. Atlanta Braves (93-69)
    3. Philadelphia Phillies (85-77)
    4. New York Mets (64-98)
    5. Miami Marlins (57-105)

     

    Summary

    On paper, there may be no better team in all of baseball entering 2013 than the Nationals as they return essentially the same team with the additions of Denard Span, Dan Haren and Rafael Soriano as well as a full season off the leash from Stephen Strasburg.

    As good as the Nationals are, the Braves will likely give them a serious run for their money as with the addition of the Upton brothers as well as a full season in the rotation from Kris Medlen, they should be among the NL's top teams.

    The Phillies battled injuries to their superstar core last season, but showed that they can still make some noise in finishing the season 34-22. Heath could be an issue again as their not getting any younger, though I do expect a small improvement.

    The Mets have taken steps to make the team better for the long term, but the 2013 outlook isn't great with R.A. Dickey moved and holes up and down the roster.

    As bad as the 2013 outlook is for the Mets, it's even worse for the Marlins after they blew up their roster with a blockbuster trade to the Blue Jays and are a shell of even last year's team that struggled to 93 losses.

NL Central

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    Predicted Standings (postseason team(s) in bold)

    1. Cincinnati Reds (94-68)
    2. St. Louis Cardinals (88-74)
    3. Milwaukee Brewers (83-79)
    4. Pittsburgh Pirates (77-85)
    5. Chicago Cubs (67-95)

     

    Summary

    The Reds entered the offseason with a roster that was nearly complete, and after re-signing Ryan Ludwick and Jonathan Broxton, they filled their biggest need in landing a center fielder and high on-base percentage leadoff hitter in Shin-Soo Choo.

    While I certainly wouldn't bet against them making another late-season push and earning a wild-card spot, I have the Cardinals missing the postseason by one game. All the pieces are still there for them to contend.

    The highest-scoring offense in the NL last season was the Brewers, and they return all of the critical pieces from last year's lineup. If their young starting pitchers behind Yovani Gallardo can step up, they could surprise.

    The Pirates have been on the fringe of breaking through with a winning season the last two seasons, and while they have improved their staff and added Russell Martin they'll still be hard-pressed to break through and hit the 82-win mark.

    The additions of Scott Feldman, Scott Baker, Carlos Villanueva and Edwin Jackson will make the Cubs a bit more watchable this coming year, but with the Astros gone last-place is theirs for the taking.

NL West

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    Predicted Standings (postseason team(s) in bold)

    1. San Francisco Giants (92-70)
    2. Los Angeles Dodgers (89-73)
    3. Arizona Diamondbacks (85-77)
    4. San Diego Padres (76-86)
    5. Colorado Rockies (68-94)

     

    Summary

    The reigning champs have their work cut out for them this coming season, as the Dodgers have continued to spend and appear ready to do whatever it takes to bring a title to Los Angeles.

    I expect both teams to make the postseason this coming year, but I'll give the nod to the Giants for the division title as their terrific rotation and Buster Posey-led lineup remain a serious threat.

    The Diamondbacks took a step back last season after winning the division in 2011, and while they have a solid roster top-to-bottom they appear to be a notch below the top two teams.

    In San Diego, the Padres have one of the best farm systems in baseball and continue to build from within, but with a questionable rotation and holes in the lineup they are still at least a year away.

    Speaking of questionable rotation, the Rockies will once again be held back by their staff and while the return of Troy Tulowitzki should give them a boost, it won't be enough to keep them out of the cellar.

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