National Signing Day Predictions: Most Unpredictable Unsigned Recruits

Mike MoraitisAnalyst IFebruary 3, 2013

National signing day takes place on Wednesday, Feb. 6, and while some players have committed to certain schools, there is still an unpredictable nature to their ultimate decisions.

Just because a player has committed to a school doesn't necessarily mean he will sign there, and that could make for some huge surprises come the big day. Other players simply haven't made up their minds yet, thus further giving an opportunity to multiple schools for their services.

Let's take a look at some of the top recruits in this year's class and examine why they are so unpredictable.


Vonn Bell, 5-Star Safety

Alabama and Ohio State were the two early favorites to land Bell (per, but after an enjoyable recent trip to Tennessee (per Patrick Brown of the Chattanooga Times Free Press), the Volunteers are now in serious contention for the talented safety.

Just this week, Bell met with Alabama and Ohio State, who made their respective last-second pitches.

JC Shurburtt of let us in on just how hard this decision is for Bell:

Per @govols247 -#Bama saw Vonn Bell this week. Per his coach he's "torn up" about the decision (VIP) #SigningDay

— JC Shurburtt (@jcshurburtt) February 2, 2013

Looks like this one will come down to the wire.


MacKensie Alexander, 4-Star CB

Alexander has several teams in contention for him with Auburn, Mississippi State, Clemson and Rutgers being at the top of the list (per

Initial reports had Alexander committed to Mississippi State, but Luke Stampini of refuted that news:

Mackensie Alexander denies committing to Miss. St. Take it for what it's worth.…

— Luke Stampini (@LukeStampini) January 19, 2013

JC Shurburtt of projected that Alexander will land with Auburn:

So @gerryh247sports and I projected MacKensie Alexander to #Auburn earlier tonight in this article #SigningDay

— JC Shurburtt (@jcshurburtt) January 30, 2013

Just when you thought things might be clear for this defensive stud, Shurburtt threw a wrench into everything, admitting nothing is certain about Alexander's future:

We will stick with that prediction, but honestly, MacKensie Alexander could end up anywhere.

— JC Shurburtt (@jcshurburtt) January 30, 2013

News on Alexander has been all over the place, so take any information about his decision with a grain of salt at this point. The only way to truly know where he will go is to watch his announcement.


Altee Tenpenny, 4-Star RB

Toward the end of January, Tenpenny committed to Alabama and head coach Nick Saban (per, but after a recent successful visit to his home school of Arkansas (per Richard Davenport of the Arkansas Democrat-Gazette), that commitment isn't so certain:

North Little Rock running back Altee Tenpenny said he enjoyed hanging out with his two hosts, cornerback Tevin Mitchel and offensive lineman Cordale Boyd. He said the players told him the same as others and to be a Hog and stay in-state. He wants to go back home and talk to his parents and see how they liked the trip. He said the staff seemed down-to-earth and were hungry to win. He'll make his final decision on signing day.

Did you read that?

Tenpenny will make his decision on signing day, so clearly Alabama hasn't landed him just yet. Arkansas seems like a better choice from both playing time and sentimental standpoints, but there's no question Alabama will give him the best chance to win.

We'll see whether home or winning matters more.


Carl Lawson, 5-Star DE

Lawson has been committed to Auburn for nearly a year now, but he is also interested in Clemson and Tennessee (per

However, also listed in his preferred destinations is Georgia Tech. The Yellow Jackets have by no means been a favorite all this time, but thanks to the hiring of a new defensive line coach, that could change.

Here are the details, according to the Atlanta Journal-Constitution's Georgia Tech Twitter account:

Thanks to new DL coach Mike Pelton, #gatech now in running for Milton DE Carl Lawson, No. 2 prospect in country.

— ajcgatech (@ajcgatech) January 31, 2013

Michael Carvell of the Atlanta Journal-Constitution admitted experts can't decide where Lawson will end up:

There sure are a lot of experts switching ... Carl Lawson from #Vols to #Auburn & Vonn Bell from #Bama to #Vols

— Michael Carvell (@RecruitingAJC) February 1, 2013

With a late entry into this race for one of the best defenders in the nation, Lawson could land at just about any of his desired schools.