Super Bowl Over/Under: Why Points Will Be at a Premium in Ravens vs. 49ers

Patrick ClarkeCorrespondent IFebruary 2, 2013

NEW ORLEANS, LA - FEBRUARY 01:  A general view of the Mercedes-Benz Superdome prior to Super Bowl XLVII on February 1, 2013 in New Orleans, Louisiana.  (Photo by Christian Petersen/Getty Images)
Christian Petersen/Getty Images

Don't expect Colin Kaepernick to run for 180 yards or Joe Flacco to throw 70-yard touchdown passes inside the Superdome on Sunday. Because points will be at a premium in Super Bowl XLVII.

Both the Baltimore Ravens and the San Francisco 49ers have been shining on the offensive end this postseason, but it mustn't be forgotten that both clubs have made a name for themselves because of their defensive prowess. 

That's why football fans looking to bet on Sunday's over/under would be wise to go low and take the under. has the over/under for Sunday's title showdown at 47.5, which is relatively high if you ask me.

Yes, the Ravens are averaging 30 points per game through three playoff games, and the Niners scored over 36 per game in two postseason wins in January. But those playoff battles don't compare to the Super Bowl, where they'll face each other in an environment where pressure is unrivaled and defense almost always leaves its mark.

Although there have been a number of high-scoring championship games, the best bet is to aim low. Eight of the last 13 Super Bowls have featured a combined total of 46 or fewer points. Since Super Bowl XXXIV in 2000, only five Super Bowls have featured more than 47 total points scored.

In addition to what history says, Super Bowl coaches more often than not implement conservative game plans in order to avoid making a critical error.

I wouldn't bet on Kaepernick running wild on the Ravens defense. Not after he gained only 21 yards on two rushes in the NFC Championship Game against Atlanta. Meanwhile, Baltimore's Ray Rice gained just 48 yards rushing on 19 carries at Foxborough in the AFC Championship Game two weeks ago.

The bottom line is that while both offenses have stolen the show this postseason, the two defenses have done their share and will shine when it matters most on Sunday.



The Baltimore Ravens have that same look in their eye that the Green Bay Packers and New York Giants had in 2010 and 2011, respectively. Baltimore is clicking in all three phases right now, and I'm not sure anything can stop it from completing its mission to win Super Bowl XLVII.

That's not to say the San Francisco 49ers aren't scorching hot themselves, but there's a certainly level of unpredictability that comes with starting a second-year quarterback (in what is only his third postseason game) in the Super Bowl.

In a defensive battle, I like the Ravens to emerge as the more physical and tough-minded team. 

Ravens 23, 49ers 17


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