Super Bowl

Super Bowl Predictions 2013: Projecting Game Outcome Against Betting Lines

FOXBORO, MA - JANUARY 20:  Joe Flacco #5 of the Baltimore Ravens celebrates with teammates Matt Birk #77 and Ray Rice #27 after throwing a touchdown pass to Anquan Boldin #81 in the fourth quarter against the New England Patriots during the 2013 AFC Championship game at Gillette Stadium on January 20, 2013 in Foxboro, Massachusetts.  (Photo by Al Bello/Getty Images)
Al Bello/Getty Images
Pete SchauerCorrespondent IFebruary 1, 2013

It's a lot easier to pick the Super Bowl straight up, rather than complicating things with betting lines.

As we approach this New Orleans clash, the bets will come pouring in.

From the color of the Gatorade used during the post-game celebration to how long Alicia Keys' National Anthem will last, you can practically bet on anything remotely close to Super Bowl XLVII.

I hear you can even bet on what color underwear Joe Flacco will be sporting this Sunday.

Just kidding.

Leave the prop bets to those who don't care about football. We're going to focus on the betting lines for the big game on Sunday.


Spread: 49ers (-3.5) via Bet Online

If I were picking this game straight up, my money would be all over the San Francisco 49ers over the Baltimore Ravens.

But that's not how I roll.

With this being a matchup of two defensive juggernauts and powerful running backs in Ray Rice and Frank Gore, Super Bowl XLVII will be won in the trenches.

Colin Kaepernick and Joe Flacco are both playing the best football of their lives, but this game is going to come down to who can run the ball more effectively.

Since the Niners use the read-option offense like the New York Yankees use the long ball, I like San Francisco to win the battle on the ground, but it's still going to be a close game.

Anquan Boldin and Torrey Smith are coming alive at the right time and Dennis Pitta has proved to be a formidable weapon in the passing game.

Taking all of that into consideration, I'm taking the Ravens with the points.

Baltimore proved against the Denver Broncos that it can win close games in the playoffs, and with David Akers kicking like a lineman, you've got to like the Ravens chances in a close game.


Over/Under: 47 (Bet Online)

The 49ers are averaging 36.5 PPG during the playoffs.

The Ravens are putting up an even 30 PPG.

Obviously you're taking the over, right?

Wrong.

This matchup has all the makings to be a ground-and-pound, tough and physical game in the Superdome.

San Francisco owns, arguably, the toughest, stingiest front seven in the NFL, while Baltimore boasts future Hall of Famers in Ray Lewis, Ed Reed and possibly Terrell Suggs.

The 49ers haven't been racking up the sacks during the postseason like they were during the regular season, but we all know what Aldon Smith is capable of when Justin Smith is playing at his best.

And then there's the Ravens defense, which boasts a postseason-leading five interceptions and six sacks.

Kaepernick is the most dynamic quarterback in the league and Flacco is playing the best football of his career, but this game will still see less than 47 combined points.


Final Prediction: 49ers 23, Ravens 21


For a complete guide to Super Bowl XLVII, click here.


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