Past the midpoint of the season, we have a sense of how the major NBA awards should shape up.

It's already someone's Most Valuable Player, Rookie of the Year, Coach of the Year and Sixth Man of the Year to lose. The trick is figuring out who.

Exceeding expectations is key to winning these awards, so the key is to look at who did just that. Winning isn't enough if you've won before. You have to either win more or win surprisingly for a shot at such a distinction.