2013 NFL Mock Draft: First-Round Analysis Post-Super Bowl

Matthew StensrudContributor IIIFebruary 4, 2013

2013 NFL Mock Draft: First-Round Analysis Post-Super Bowl

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    The 2013 NFL draft is scheduled for Thursday, April 25, and many fans are already looking ahead to their favorite team's draft position. Following a 34-31 Baltimore win over San Francisco in Super Bowl XLVII, the draft order for the first round has now been set.

    Without a consensus No. 1 draft choice, there are several scenarios that may play out. The Kansas City Chiefs hold the top pick and will have a difficult choice to start off the evening.

    This mock draft will feature the top choice at each selection of the first round. It also includes honorable mention candidates for each team. Draft analysis is never a perfect science, but each pick is based on research of a team's top needs and best available talent.

    Each player caption includes height and weight, taken from Matt Miller's latest draft board.

    Will the streak of quarterbacks at No. 1 continue? Kansas City is on the clock...

1. Kansas City Chiefs

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    OT Luke Joeckel, Texas A&M

    The last year a quarterback was not selected with the first overall pick was 2008, when the Miami Dolphins drafted offensive tackle Jake Long. Over the past 15 years, only three players have not come from behind center.

    However, with a shortage of talent at the position, the Chiefs should look to offensive tackle Luke Joeckel at No. 1. The first-team All-American has excellent technique as a pass blocker and is the top overall prospect in this year's draft.

    General manager John Dorsey has recently come out to say that he will take the best player available. While a lot could change from now until April, it would be a stretch to consider any quarterback in this draft as the best player. Then again, Dorsey may also just be testing the trade waters with his comments.

    Honorable Mentions

    QB Geno Smith, West Virginia

    DE Bjoern Werner, Florida State

2. Jacksonville Jaguars

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    DE Bjoern Werner, Florida State

    Jacksonville desperately needs to improve on defense, finishing 30th against the run and dead last in sacks. The team will have a great crop of defensive ends and tackles to choose from, each excelling in different areas.

    The Jaguars will run a 4-3 scheme in 2013, setting Werner up for success against the pass and run. He has excellent hand quickness to get off blocks and defend interior passes. The ACC Defensive Player of the Year in 2012 also led the conference with 13 sacks.

    Honorable Mentions

    DT Star Lotulelei, Utah

    DE Damontre Moore, Texas A&M

3. Oakland Raiders

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    DT Star Lotulelei, Utah

    Lotulelei won the Pac-12's Morris Trophy as the top defensive lineman in 2011. He returned for his senior campaign in 2012 and continued to improve in quickness and reading blocks. The Raiders would be drafting the best defensive player available with Werner off the board.

    Over the past two seasons, Lotulelei has slimmed down and improved his foot speed. He is a presence in the middle to stop the run and has the agility to rush the quarterback. Few players of his size are able to get off the snap as quickly or recover against ball carriers.

    Honorable Mentions

    DE Damontre Moore, Texas A&M

    OLB Jarvis Jones, Georgia

4. Philadelphia Eagles

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    OLB Jarvis Jones, Georgia

    Jones began his career at USC, but suffered a neck injury as a freshman and transferred to his hometown Bulldogs. After sitting out the season in 2010, he exploded onto the scene and led the SEC in sacks and tackles for loss—but Jones wasn't done there. In 2012, he led the nation in sacks, tackles for loss and forced fumbles.

    The Eagles are looking for a defensive playmaker and Jones brings incredible closing speed and strength to contribute immediately. Although Damontre Moore is still available, don't be surprised if the team addresses a major concern at linebacker.

    Honorable Mentions

    DE Damontre Moore, Texas A&M

    CB Dee Milliner, Alabama


5. Detroit Lions

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    DE Damontre Moore, Texas A&M

    Nicknamed "DaMonster", this athletic pass rusher would be an excellent addition to complement Ndamukong Suh and Nick Fairley at defensive tackle. As the Lions look to rebound in 2013 and surpass Aaron Rodgers and the Green Bay Packers, a disruptive defensive line would be a perfect formula to add much-needed pressure on the quarterback.

    Moore does have some areas to improve, including maintaining edge defense and limiting his tendency to play high against blocks. With that said, he is one of the best pass rushers in this draft and the Lions won't hesitate if Moore is still available.

    Honorable Mentions

    CB Dee Milliner, Alabama

    DE Dion Jordan, Oregon

6. Cleveland Browns

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    CB Dee Milliner, Alabama

    The best cornerback in the draft, DeMarcus "Dee" Milliner is an explosive player with immediate impact potential. The Browns need help in several positions on defense, as well as their offensive line. With Milliner still on the board, it would be difficult to pass up the Alabama standout.

    Milliner was not a well-known name in 2011 as a sophomore, but came out of his shell with the departure of fellow cornerback Dre Kirkpatrick. Among winning back-to-back BCS Championships, he was selected unanimously as first-team All-American and All-SEC.

    Honorable Mentions

    OLB Barkevious Mingo, LSU

    OG Chance Warmack, Alabama

7. Arizona Cardinals

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    OG Chance Warmack, Alabama

    The Arizona Cardinals have a clear need at quarterback, but can get far greater value at No. 7. Warmack provides an opportunity to select the best available offensive lineman for a team finishing the 2012 season last in rushing yards (1,204) and sacks allowed (58).

    Warmack excels in both run blocking and pass protection. The big-body guard has the mobility to pull and the sheer strength to pancake his defender on any play. While fans in Arizona may be screaming for a signal-caller, the best selection at this spot is offensive line.

    Honorable Mentions

    QB Geno Smith, West Virginia

    OT Eric Fisher, Central Michigan


8. Buffalo Bills

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    OLB Barkevious Mingo, LSU

    The Bills need to add talent at defense, finishing 31st against the run in 2012. Barkevious Mingo can play either outside linebacker or defensive end and can track down ball carriers with excellent closing speed. He can also put pressure on the quarterback with an ability to shed blockers and affect visibility with length and agility.

    Mingo can appear raw at times, but it's that athleticism that makes him such a high potential draft pick for Buffalo. Although a very lean player, he makes life difficult for quarterbacks and rushers alike.

    Honorable Mentions

    DE Dion Jordan, Oregon

    ILB Alec Ogletree, Georgia

9. New York Jets

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    DE Dion Jordan, Oregon

    With the flexibility of the Jets defense (3-4, 4-3 or 46), Jordan provides versatility as a hybrid defensive end/linebacker. With great speed and length, he displays similar characteristics as Barkevious Mingo selected one pick earlier.

    Jordan has the ability to wreak havoc against opposing quarterbacks. He can also defend the edge against the run and drop back into coverage when needed. The Jets could go in many directions with this pick, but their fanbase should cheer if Dion Jordan is announced by Roger Goodell.

    Honorable Mentions

    DE Ezekiel Ansah, BYU

    CB Johnthan Banks, Mississippi State

10. Tennessee Titans

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    DT Sheldon Richardson, Missouri

    Defense seems to be the obvious choice for the Titans, ranking 27th overall in 2012. Although seven of the first nine draft picks have fallen on that side of the ball, Tennessee still has a handful of solid options at No. 10.

    Defensive tackle is a particularly deep position in this year's draft, and Sheldon Richardson is the best available player at his position. He is expected to make a big splash at the NFL Scouting Combine, which should help propel him towards the top of teams' draft boards.

    Honorable Mentions

    DT Johnathan Hankins, Ohio State

    DT Sharrif Floyd, Florida

11. San Diego Chargers

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    OT Eric Fisher, Central Michigan

    Fisher may have the fastest rising stock among players prior to the NFL Scouting Combine, coming off a performance at the Senior Bowl that has teams taking serious notice of this Mid-American lineman. While Luke Joeckel is still at the top of most analysts' draft boards, Fisher could climb higher than projected here to the Chargers.

    The Central Michigan senior has the drive and ability to be an immediate starter in the NFL. While he needs to add strength and continue to work on balance, Fisher may be a consensus choice if he is available at No. 11.

    Honorable Mentions

    OT Lane Johnson, Oklahoma

    OG Jonathan Cooper, North Carolina

12. Miami Dolphins

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    WR Cordarrelle Patterson, Tennessee

    The Miami Dolphins are poised to draft a wide receiver to help second-year quarterback Ryan Tannehill. Patterson is the best player at his position and would add a dynamic element to a Dolphins team that finished 27th in total offense in 2012.

    The Tennessee junior became the first NCAA player in four years to score a touchdown in four different ways—receiving, rushing, kickoff and punt return. Unlike Ted Ginn Jr. (5'11", 178 lbs), who the Dolphins drafted ninth overall in 2007, Patterson is also a deep vertical threat who can make the difficult catch in traffic.

    Honorable Mentions

    WR Keenan Allen, California

    CB Johnthan Banks, Mississippi State

13. Tampa Bay Buccaneers

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    CB Johnthan Banks, Mississippi State

    The Tampa Bay Buccaneers are a far cry from the team that had the best pass defense in 2002. Gone are the likes of Ronde Barber, Brian Kelly and John Lynch. The Bucs finished the 2012 season with the worst pass defense in the league.

    To say Tampa Bay needs an overhaul in the backfield is an understatement. Although Dee Milliner is already off the board, Johnthan Banks from Mississippi State would be an excellent addition.

    He has the skills to play man coverage and versatility to play several positions as a converted safety. Banks can also contest the jump ball and has great hands as a defender.

    Honorable Mentions

    FS Kenny Vaccaro, Texas

    CB Xavier Rhodes, Florida State

14. Carolina Panthers

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    DT Johnathan Hankins, Ohio State

    The Carolina Panthers could go in a few different directions with this pick. They will most likely address either the defensive or offensive line, with a slim possibility to add a wide receiver to Cam Newton's arsenal.

    Considering the options available, a defensive tackle makes the most sense here.

    Johnathan Hankins has the size to plug holes against the run, but also possesses rare agility to attack the ball carrier. Sharrif Floyd would also be a strong pick for the Panthers, with his combination of strength and speed to bolster the defensive line.

    Honorable Mentions

    DT Sharrif Floyd, Florida

    OG Jonathan Cooper, North Carolina

15. New Orleans Saints

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    DE Ezekiel Ansah, BYU

    With several defensive tackles and ends already selected, New Orleans still has the opportunity to select a potential top-10 defender with Ezekiel "Ziggy" Ansah.

    The Ghana native tried his hand at both basketball and track before converting to football. Although a very raw talent, Ansah has the physical gifts and coachability to warrant a high draft selection.

    Ansah has outstanding speed rushing from the edge and versatility to play in different defensive schemes at the pro level. If he can continue his strong work ethic and add size to his frame, the BYU senior would provide immediate impact.

    Honorable Mentions

    FS Kenny Vaccaro, Texas

    DE Alex Okafor, Texas

16. St. Louis Rams

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    FS Kenny Vaccaro, Texas

    Although the Rams have needs at offensive line, Vaccaro is the best defensive player available with strong open-field tackling skills and ability to play physical coverage. He needs to improve on play action and taking better angles, but his confidence and aggressive play will take him far in the NFL.

    Jonathan Cooper is also a strong possibility for St. Louis, especially if Vaccaro is already off the board. The North Carolina guard is tough against the pass rush and could help anchor a team that was 19th in rushing in 2012.

    Honorable Mentions

    OG Jonathan Cooper, North Carolina

    OT Lane Johnson, Oklahoma

17. Pittsburgh Steelers

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    DT Sharrif Floyd, Florida

    The Steelers will mull several options at this point in the draft, most likely focusing on the defensive side of the ball. Linebacker is a key position need, but Sharrif Floyd offers top value as the best defensive lineman available.

    The junior out of Florida has demonstrated versatility as a one- and two-gap defender. He has also played strong at nose tackle, providing the Steelers multiple looks across their defensive schemes.

    Floyd will need to develop further in the NFL—specifically in maintaining leverage and building stamina. He has a tendency to get lost in plays when double-teamed, but has good balance and can change directions effectively.

    Honorable Mentions

    DT Jesse Williams, Alabama

    ILB Alec Ogletree, Georgia

18. Dallas Cowboys

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    OG Jonathan Cooper, North Carolina

    Tony Romo should love this pick considering the pressure he faced all year under center. Jonathan Cooper has great mobility in pass protection, with a constant motor to drive through rushing plays until the whistle. He won the ACC Jacobs Blocking Trophy in his senior year to go along with first-team All-American and All-ACC selections.

    Defensive end would also make sense for the Cowboys. The team is moving to a 4-3 defense in 2013 and ranked 20th in sacks last year. While DeMarcus Ware is still productive, he is recovering from shoulder surgery and turns 31 heading into the season.

    Honorable Mentions

    DE Alex Okafor, Texas

    OT Lane Johnson, Oklahoma

19. New York Giants

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    DE Alex Okafor, Texas

    New York will have a difficult choice with this pick, weighing options on both offense and defense. Okafor would be a great fit as an up-and-comer behind Osi Umenyiora and Justin Tuck.

    His size and quickness make him a coveted player at the professional level, with great arm extension to slow down rushers and pressure the quarterback.

    Although Okafor had an ankle injury in 2012, he finished the season strong and projects well into the draft. He plays at a high speed and would fit well with the Giants defense.

    Honorable Mentions

    OT Lane Johnson, Oklahoma

    TE Tyler Eifert, Notre Dame

20. Chicago Bears

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    OT Lane Johnson, Oklahoma

    Lane Johnson has followed an interesting path to be a potential first-round draft pick. He was a starting quarterback in high school and backup for Kilgore Junior College.

    He moved to tight end and defensive end for Oklahoma after redshirting his first year. Johnson finally found his niche on the offensive line playing both right and left tackle.

    The Bears are in a position of need at both offensive line and linebacker. Johnson's combination of athleticism and technique would further improve a top-10 running game and help keep Jay Cutler upright—Chicago finished 25th in 2012 in sacks allowed.

    While the team needs an immediate succession plan for Brian Urlacher, Phil Emery should wait until Round 2 to select a linebacker.

    Honorable Mentions

    ILB Alec Ogletree, Georgia

    TE Tyler Eifert, Notre Dame

21. Cincinnati Bengals

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    ILB Alec Ogletree, Georgia

    Cincinnati will most likely focus on defense in the first round, targeting linebacker or defensive end. Ogletree would add athleticism and aggressive play to a team that may be losing Rey Maualuga. The converted safety provides excellent coverage for his position and gets off blocks to close on ball carriers.

    Ogletree was suspended the first four games of the 2012 season for violating team rules. These off-the-field problems may cause the Bulldog to slide in the draft, especially with a Bengals team trying to clean up their image.

    However, he appears to have come back from that setback focused to impress NFL scouts as the top athlete at his position.

    Honorable Mentions

    ILB Kevin Minter, LSU

    DE Sam Montgomery, LSU

22. St. Louis Rams (from Washington)

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    OT D.J. Fluker, Alabama

    With the Rams selecting safety Kenny Vaccaro at pick No. 16, the team will switch their focus to the offensive line and wide receiver.

    D.J. Fluker would fill a major need for St. Louis, who shuffled its offensive line with nine different starters in 2012. The Alabama junior has good footwork and balance when setting up a block, making him difficult to move against defenders.

    St. Louis may look at wide receiver in this spot, but the team can wait until pick No. 46 to address this need. Landing both Vaccaro and Fluker will yield an excellent report card on draft day.

    Honorable Mentions

    WR Keenan Allen, California

    OT Dallas Thomas, Tennessee

23. Minnesota Vikings

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    WR Keenan Allen, California

    The Vikings' most glaring need heading into the 2013 NFL draft is wide receiver. Linebacker and defensive tackle may also be considerations, but the team needs another offensive weapon to complement Adrian Peterson and an injured Percy Harvin—who may not be wearing purple and gold next year.

    Allen provides a vertical threat and is the next best option at receiver after Cordarrelle Patterson. He has great hands and can win jump balls from defenders.

    Christian Ponder needs a player he can trust downfield and the Vikings simply don't have that option today, even with Jarius Wright flashing some potential in Week 17.

    Honorable Mentions

    WR DeAndre Hopkins, Clemson

    WR Terrance Williams, Baylor

24. Indianapolis Colts

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    DT Jesse Williams, Alabama

    Williams is a great value at this selection and would fit in perfectly with the Colts' 3-4 defense. He plays with great power and hand quickness to outplay his opponent. While nose tackle will be his most natural position, Williams can also play a 5-technique defensive end in the 3-4.

    The Colts will also consider the offensive line with this pick in an effort to protect franchise quarterback Andrew Luck. With several O-line prospects off the board (Joeckel, Warmack, Fisher, Cooper, Johnson, Fluker), Indianapolis should move their attention to the defensive line and a player that slides right into their system.

    Honorable Mentions

    DT John Jenkins, Georgia

    OT Dallas Thomas, Tennessee

25. Seattle Seahawks

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    DE Sam Montgomery, LSU

    Coming off a playoff loss to the Falcons where Seattle did not register a sack, expect the front office to focus its attention on a pass rusher. Sam "Sonic" Montgomery is a consistent defender, recording 13.5 tackles and nine sacks in 2011. He followed that up with 13 tackles for loss and eight sacks in 2012, winning first-team All-SEC honors in both years.

    The Seahawks could also look at wide receiver with this pick, adding additional weapons for rookie standout Russell Wilson. With only two wideouts off the board, there is still first-round talent to consider. However, Montgomery fits a stronger need and gives reason for Pete Carroll to celebrate.

    Honorable Mentions

    WR DeAndre Hopkins, Clemson

    OT Dallas Thomas, Tennessee

26. Green Bay Packers

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    DT John Jenkins, Georgia

    Similar to how Randy Moss changed the way Green Bay approached the draft—the Packers drafted three consecutive cornerbacks in 1999—Adrian Peterson may do the same coming off an MVP season rushing for 2,097 yards. His two regular-season meetings with the Packers resulted in 210 and 199 yards.

    Jenkins fits well into the Packers' 3-4 defensive scheme as a dominant presence at nose tackle, forcing squads to double-team the Georgia senior. He has the ability to rip past blocks and stop rushers in the backfield. Jenkins can also track the quarterback with good foot quickness and above-average agility.

    Honorable Mentions

    ILB Kevin Minter, LSU

    TE Tyler Eifert, Notre Dame

27. Houston Texans

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    WR DeAndre Hopkins, Clemson

    The Texans have needed a solid complement to Andre Johnson for years and this is the draft Houston should finally address the position.

    While Kevin Walter is serviceable, he has never been able to take enough attention off Johnson to keep pace with the best teams in the AFC. The Texans have now lost in back-to-back divisional playoff games—to Baltimore in 2011 and to New England in 2012.

    That's not to say that a stronger wide receiver would have led to victories in both games, but with a team ranked seventh in total defense, it's time for the Texans to give Matt Schaub some help.

    Hopkins is an excellent route-runner, both in the intermediate area of the field and down the sideline. He makes the difficult catch in contact and goes up to make plays on the ball.

    Honorable Mention

    WR Terrance Williams, Baylor

    CB Xavier Rhodes, Florida State

28. Denver Broncos

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    ILB Kevin Minter, LSU

    The Broncos have the most needs on defense, specifically at linebacker and in the secondary. Kevin Minter can immediately contribute by outworking blockers and taking great angles against ball carriers. He won first-team All-SEC honors 2012 and was voted the team's most valuable player among strong competition.

    Minter will need to improve in a few areas, including his lateral speed and ability to recover against misdirection. However, he brings a strong motor and technique to a Broncos team that will be looking to strengthen its defense.

    Honorable Mentions

    ILB Manti Te'o, Notre Dame

    CB Xavier Rhodes, Florida State

29. New England Patriots

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    WR Terrance Williams, Baylor

    With uncertainty surrounding Wes Welker's return to the Patriots in 2013, many are looking to the draft for potential replacements. While slot receiver Tavon Austin is an obvious choice, New England should look at other options than simply finding a body double for Welker.

    Since the departure of Randy Moss in 2010, the Patriots have lacked a true deep threat to complement the underneath pass. Brandon Lloyd was supposed to instill life in this area, but he was inconsistent in 2012.

    Terrance Williams is the best receiver on the board and provides Tom Brady a vertical attack and red zone weapon.

    Honorable Mentions

    WR Tavon Austin, West Virginia

    FS Eric Reid, LSU

30. Atlanta Falcons

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    DE Datone Jones, UCLA

    The Falcons' top priority heading into the draft should be improving a pass rush that finished 28th in sacks (29) in 2012. John Abraham will be 35 heading into next season and has two years left on his contract.

    Datone Jones is a versatile defender that could fit into the Falcons current 4-3 defense, or any version of a 3-4 scheme in the future. He has strong physical talent and is an excellent tackler.

    Jones will need to improve on staying balanced against blocks and further improve his overall agility. However, the UCLA senior showed promise in his final season in college and provides several options for the Falcons on defense.

    Honorable Mentions

    TE Tyler Eifert, Notre Dame

    DT Kawann Short, Purdue

31. San Francisco 49ers

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    CB Xavier Rhodes, Florida State

    San Francisco comes off a Super Bowl loss with few holes on its team, but will most likely target the secondary or defensive line with this selection.

    Xavier Rhodes is the best available cornerback and would be a great addition to a team that prides itself on defense. He is best in press coverage and does not shy away from contact.

    Rhodes will need to improve in the run game and playing zone coverage. However, he can fight with the best of receivers and deliver a powerful hit. Safety Eric Reid would also be a great fit for the 49ers, combining athleticism and intelligence in the secondary.

    Honorable Mentions

    FS Eric Reid, LSU

    DE Margus Hunt, SMU

32. Baltimore Ravens

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    ILB Manti Te'o, Notre Dame

    The Super Bowl champion Baltimore Ravens will relish their win in New Orleans. With Ray Lewis retiring after this season, the team will most likely look to fill the void at linebacker. Manti Te'o has been the wild card of mock drafts over the last several weeks and may be selected anywhere in the first round.

    Despite his bizarre off-the-field story and disappointing performance in the BCS title game, Te'o would bring a strong work ethic and aggressive play to help replace the 17-year veteran.

    Ed Reed is also a question mark heading into the off-season, with a strong possibly of retirement following his team's Super Bowl victory. Eric Reid would provide a viable replacement, demonstrating similar physical characteristics and competitive nature.

    Honorable Mentions

    FS Eric Reid, LSU

    C Barrett Jones, Alabama

     

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