The NBA MVP award is derived from qualitative analysis based on quantitative data.
It's voted on by a collection of basketball writers with different definitions of what it actually means to be the NBA's MVP.
Individual statistics and team winning percentage figure more prominently for some than they do for others.
There is also an unwritten bias toward what each MVP award means for the respective winner's legacy.
If LeBron James were to be named MVP this season, for example, it would mean that he'd join the elite group of Wilt Chamberlain, Bill Russell, Michael Jordan and Kareem Abdul-Jabbar as the only players in NBA history to win more than three MVPs.
Some voters will try ignore the historical ramifications and focus only on this season, but that's not always as easy as it sounds.
These updated MVP odds at the halfway mark of the season factor that human element in to some degree.
Besides that, the primary criteria for assessing these odds are individual accomplishments thus far as well as who is helping his team win the most.
The players are listed from least likely to most likely to win the MVP this season. Just missing this list—in no particular order—were Stephen Curry, Kyrie Irving and Tony Parker.