Fourteen AP Top 25 teams suffered at least one loss last week, sending teams sliding up and down the S-curve in my latest projections.
As always, I am not trying to guess how teams will finish the year. Rather, I am simply seeding them based on their current resumes.
I like to break teams down into three categories:
1. Wallflowers are bubble teams, because everyone wants to get into the Big Dance, but not all of them have the guts to ask a girl out onto the dance floor.
2. An elite team that is safely in the field is "Dancing with a Hottie."
3. A school in the middle is "Dancing with Its Sister."
For two of the past three years, my final bracket projections have been more accurate than those of ESPN's Joe Lunardi, and I had the most accurate projections in the country in 2011.
I'll begin with the two First Four at-large-bid games:
(12a) Washington vs. (12d) UMass
(12b) BYU vs. (12c) Villanova
First 15 Teams Out: St. John's, Florida State, Memphis, Arizona State, Alabama, UTEP, St. Louis, Xavier, Temple, Charlotte, Kentucky, Maryland, Boise State, St. Mary's, Richmond
The projections are presented in slideshow format, with each major conference receiving its own slide.
First up is the ACC.