Here's the argument in two parts:
First, Kinsler has had a history of nagging, somewhat freak injuries that have shortened his season. Last year, it was the sports hernia. In 2007, it was a stress fracture in his foot. Some may make the case that Kinsler is prone to injury, but it seems like bad luck to me.
Second, Kinsler enters the season at 26 years of age. This should be the beginning of his prime years. He has a few years of experience under his belt and he has shown he can hit anyone.
Assuming that Kinsler will stay healthy and play in 160 games, and projecting a 10 percent increase due to beginning a prime year, then I expect Kinsler to put up the numbers below this season:
R H HR RBI SB
125 197 25 90 29
When compared to the numbers put up by Dustin Pedroia in his 2008 MVP season, Kinsler would have more runs, home runs, RBI, and stolen bases. As the leader of a potent Ranger offense, on what could be a surprise team in the seemingly wide open American League West, look for Kinsler to become an absolute star.