2013 NFL Free Agents: Teams Should Not Take a Chance on Greg Jennings

Jonathan MunshawCorrespondent IJanuary 25, 2013

Green Bay Packers wide receiver Greg Jennings will most likely be a free agent this offseason.
Green Bay Packers wide receiver Greg Jennings will most likely be a free agent this offseason.Thearon W. Henderson/Getty Images

With the NFL season nearly complete, teams will start looking toward the offseason, especially who they should draft and who they should sign through free agency.

There are a number of notable players whose contract will expire at the end of this year, and while some of them will most likely re-sign with their current teams, there will be players from all positions who are looking for new homes.

Greg Jennings will likely be one of those players. Jennings, currently on the Packers, will likely not re-sign with Green Bay, with the emergence of James Jones and Randall Cobb. With Jones, Cobb and Jordy Nelson catching passes for the Packers, they’ll likely let Jennings walk.

However, this doesn’t mean that teams should start handing Jennings blank checks to get him on their team.

The 29-year-old’s numbers have been on the decline, and he has been bothered by various injuries over the past two seasons.

Jennings missed three games in 2011 to injury, and this season missed eight games, mostly with an abdominal tear.

Even when Jennings was healthy, he was outplayed by Jones and Cobb. Jennings averaged 10.2 yards per catch, while Cobb averaged 11.9 and Jones averaged 12.3.

In 2011, Jennings was also outshined by Nelson, who had a breakout year, catching 68 balls for 1,263 yards and 15 touchdowns, averaging 18.6 yards per catch. That same season, Jennings only caught one fewer pass, but had 949 yards and nine touchdowns and averaged four fewer yards per catch than Nelson.

Over the past several years, Jennings' overall production has been on the decline. His best year was in 2008, when he caught 80 passes for 1,292 yards and nine touchdowns. The next year, Jennings caught 68 passes for 1,113 yards.

This season, Jennings only finished with 366 yards and four touchdowns. Most fans will chalk that up to injury and missing a lot of games, which will obviously drive his numbers down. However, if Jennings had played eight games in 2011, he still would have had 584 yards, and if he had played eight games in 2010, he would have had around 632 yards.

Jennings’ production has been down of late, but that doesn’t mean all NFL teams should stay away from him. He can still be a productive receiver in this league, but he probably isn’t worth as much now as he thinks he is. He will most likely go to teams desperate to get a big-name receiver on their roster and ask for a large contract that he isn’t worth.

If he is willing to lower his price, then Jennings can be a good value to a team, but he isn’t putting up numbers that justify him as coming in to be a No. 1 receiver on most teams.