NFL Draft 2013: Prospective Top-10 Picks Teams Shouldn't Take Chance on

Joshua AcostaContributor IIIJanuary 24, 2013

Milliner will be the next first round CB out of Alabama.
Milliner will be the next first round CB out of Alabama.Wesley Hitt/Getty Images

As NFL teams feverishly continue scouting and updating their draft boards, teams will attempt to draft for value and avoid a bust.

Drafting a bust can cost teams millions of dollars and set the organization back several years.  The Oakland Raiders drafted JaMarcus Russell with the first overall pick in the 2007 NFL Draft, signing him to a six-year deal worth $68 million including $31.5 million guaranteed, according to ESPN.

Russell played 31 games for the Raiders before his release.  Raiders are still searching for their franchise quarterback.

These players have proven themselves worthy of a first round selection, but teams should not risk a top-10 pick.

Tyler Wilson

Aside from projections expecting Andy Reid and the Kansas City Chiefs to draft Geno Smith with their first overall pick, this year’s crop of quarterbacks, including Wilson, are not worth a top-10 pick.

Wilson regressed during his final season at Arkansas.  He doubled his amount of interceptions from 13 to 26 and only won two games in the SEC, four in total.

As Todd McShay from ESPN noted in his mock draft:

Defensive linemen have dominated my draft board all season long, and this projection is no different with 14 ends and tackles included. Offensive tackle is the next-best position with four prospects, while only one quarterback makes the early cut.


With such a talented defensive crop, Wilson should go in the middle or late first round.

Dee Milliner

Plenty of teams will seek to solidify their secondary through the draft.  Aside from the Detroit Lions with the fifth pick in the draft, teams with top-10 picks have other pressing needs.

Milliner is unquestionably one of the better cornerbacks in this draft class.  He is a two-time national champion with the Alabama Crimson Tide under Nick Saban and unanimous 2012 All-American defensive back.

Unless the Lions draft for their biggest need and not next best overall player, Milliner will go middle to late first round.  There is simply too much talent at defensive end and offensive tackle in the first 10 selections.

Dion Jordan

The 6’ 7”, 243-pound defensive end has caught the attention of scouts with his height, speed, and playmaking ability after switching from tight end to defensive end.  Jordan was among the finalists for the Butkus Award given to the top linebacker.

In order to take advantage of his height, coaches often lined him up standing up as defensive end or outside linebacker.  His inexperience lining up in the traditional 3-point stance may affect his draft stock.

Jordan should come off the board in the first round as a linebacker, but a top-10 pick is too risky on a player who needs to bulk up and take more practice reps on the defensive side of the ball.