Handicapping the Odds for Every Main-Card Fight at UFC on Fox 6

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Handicapping the Odds for Every Main-Card Fight at UFC on Fox 6
Tom Szczerbowski-USA TODAY Sports

I like numbers. Which is a weird thing, because I was terrible at math all throughout my formative years, and I remain terrible at math now that I'm an adult.

It's not so much the math aspect of numbers that intrigues me; it's statistics and the many ways they can be applied to sports. It all started with Moneyball—as it did for so many other part-time nerds who enjoy viewing sporting events through the prism of numbers and theories—but it's a passion that has continued to this day.

When it comes to fighting, I enjoy the statistical side of handicapping. I find that it forces me to think logically about competitors and helps get rid of that twinge of promotion and media-created emotion that pushes you to make picks with your heart instead of your head.

For a detailed explanation of my handicapping process, check out this slide from a piece I wrote back in November in which I broke down the early odds for UFC on Fox 6. Once you've gone through that, come on back here and we'll take one final look at the same event to try and determine if there's any value to be found in the main-card fights.

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