Novak Djokovic vs. David Ferrer: Why the Djoker Will March to Three-Peat

Ryan DavenportContributor IJanuary 23, 2013

NEW YORK, NY - SEPTEMBER 09:  Novak Djokovic of Serbia shakes hands with David Ferrer of Spain after their men's singles semifinal match on Day Fourteen of the 2012 US Open at USTA Billie Jean King National Tennis Center on September 9, 2012 in the Flushing neighborhood of the Queens borough of New York City.  (Photo by Elsa/Getty Images)
Elsa/Getty Images

Today's Semifinal clash at the 2013 Australian Open will pit world No. 5 David Ferrer against No. 1 Novak Djokovic, in what should be a wildly entertaining match between two of the world's best.

That being said, there is certainly an overwhelming favorite, and for good reason.

There's no questioning that Ferrer is on a shortlist of players who could potentially upset Djokovic, and that's because he has in the past, but with the slick Serbian firing on all cylinders as he has been throughout this tournament, the outcome shouldn't be in doubt for long.

It's not that Ferrer hasn't been on his game as of late, as the Spaniard won the Auckland Open in nearby New Zealand less than two weeks ago; it's just that for the most part, Djokovic has rolled through the tournament, and will be well-rested by the time the pair of stars take the court in Melbourne.

So far, Djokovic has lost just three sets, and held Tomas Berdych to just one game in two of four sets during their Quarterfinal match.

At the other end of the court, though Ferrer has lost just three sets through five matches as well, he'll be coming off a five-set thriller against Nicolas Amalgro, in which the 30-year-old battled back from two sets down to stun his fellow Spaniard.

It also doesn't help that Ferrer is 5-9 lifetime against the two-time reigning Australian Open champion, and is 0-2 in against Djokovic in past Australian Open matches.

In fact, Ferrer has failed to even win a set against the five-time Grand Slam winner in Melbourne, which doesn't bode well for his chances tonight.

Beyond their meetings in Australia, Djokovic has had Ferrer's number on big stages in general.

At the 2012 U.S. Open, Ferrer finally appeared to be in the process of advancing to his first Grand Slam final, as he took the first set of his Semifinal date with Djokovic in decisive fashion, but it wasn't meant to be, as Djokovic roared back to take the following three sets, dropping just seven games in total the rest of the way. 

Tonight, Ferrer might put up a better fight than he did last year, but it won't be enough.

Djokovic is a proven winner, and even if it's not in straight sets, he'll find a way to get past Ferrer once again.