Liverpool Transfers: Why Luis Suarez to Bayern Munich Won't Happen

Karl Matchett@@karlmatchettFeatured ColumnistJanuary 23, 2013

Liverpool Transfers: Why Luis Suarez to Bayern Munich Won't Happen

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    Liverpool continue to be linked with a whole raft of transfers, both for deals now and in the summer window, and the latest rumour has caused some concern amongst fans; that of a potential deal to move star forward Luis Suarez on to Bayern Munich.

    As per Metro.co.uk, the Bundesliga would-be champions are eyeing up the Uruguayan for one of incoming manager Pep Guardiola's first signings when he joins at the end of the present campaign.

    There will doubtless be plenty of incoming players and outgoing first team regulars this summer as manager Brendan Rodgers continues to reshape his squad.

    However, Luis Suarez is not likely to be one of those leaving—and almost certainly not for Bayern Munich.

    Here's five reasons why this deal simply won't happen.

The Quoted Price

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    As per the article on Metro, Bayern have "confirmed the summer arrival of Pep Guardiola and are now looking to add another feather to their cap with a £40m swoop for hitman Suarez."

    Great, except £40 million won't buy Luis Suarez. Not at all.

    Two years ago as Suarez was signing for the Reds for a fee just under £25 million, Liverpool were selling Fernando Torres to Chelsea for £50 million.

    That's how much it took to prise away the Reds' top forward at the time, and that's the absolute minimum it would take to do the same again. Quite aside from the fact he'd need replacing, Liverpool have for over a year now depended quite enormously on the creative and inventive talents of the Uruguayan, who has responded magnificently.

    He is without doubt more important to Liverpool now than Torres was at the time of his own departure.

    Certainly enough to suggest he has seen his value and worth rise by more than a mere £15 million.

    It is understandable that Suarez will be targeted every year by ambitious clubs with financial muscle, but the Reds should not even be considering any offers which fall below what would be a record outgoing deal.

The Competition

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    Feast your eyes upon the scenes of celebration.

    Notice anything? Arjen Robben, Franck Ribery, Thomas Muller, Mario Gomez... Bayern Munich already have themselves quite an impressive array of attacking armoury, even before last summer.

    Then, they added Xherdan Shaqiri and Mario Mandzukic to the fold.

    Whether Suarez is a target for a centre-forward role or a wide supporting attacker's role has not been revealed, but Bayern are equally well-stocked with top quality players in either case.

    On the right, Muller has arguably been one of the best performers in the Bundesliga this season, claiming nine goals and eight assists from 18 starts. On the opposite flank, Ribery (when fit) is in terrific form, leading the entire division in dribbles and key passes per game.

    It's possible that he could be seen as a first choice centre-forward, ousting Gomez and Mandzukic (11 goals in 15 games) entirely—but then why are Bayern also credited with an interest in Edin Dzeko, Edinson Cavani and Radamel Falcao?

    Suarez doesn't entirely fit the mould as a second striker or No. 10, and in any case, Toni Kroos has that position sewn up too.

    With the current squad there is simply no need, nor room without first offloading a major star, for Luis Suarez at Bayern Munich. He's better than what they have, yes, but he's not necessarily a £50 million upgrade.

Form and Squad Role at Liverpool

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    A vitally important consideration is that of Suarez's well-being and happiness at his current club.

    This is not a player who is actively looking to leave, nor unhappy with his position in the team.

    Suarez signed a new, long-term contract in the summer to remain at Liverpool for a number of years and, though it is not to say he'll see out the deal, there is certainly nothing to suggest he wants to leave the club imminently.

    As recently as November he told the Liverpool Echo:

    I have a very long contract here and it’s a dream come true to be playing at a club like Liverpool because as a boy I dreamt of playing for a team like this.

    Now I’m here, it’s all about enjoying myself and trying to be here for as many years as I can, because I’m at a club where I’m very happy. My family is happy, I’ve got fantastic teammates and a manager from whom I’m learning so much.

    The manager in question, Brendan Rodgers, has been equally emphatic about his wish to keep Suarez at the club.

    Luis is not for sale. There will be no bidding war. He’s staying here, I think you’ve seen up until this point he’s in a great moment in his footballing life here at Liverpool. He is scoring goals and working well and he’s very happy here.

    He is a very important member of our team and I think you see he is really enjoying playing in this way of working and obviously his goals count for that. We want to continue to build the group around him. We are in the very early stages of trying to form something at the club and Luis is an integral part of that.

    With 20 goals in all competitions this season, Suarez is enjoying his best campaign so far at Anfield and there is no indication that this is about to change.

Relationships on and off the Pitch

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    Take a look at the Being: Liverpool documentary, listen to the man himself in interviews and read what others say about him. One conclusion which can safely be drawn is that, away from football, Luis Suarez is very much a family man.

    With his family settled and happy in Liverpool, there is not much chance he will want to uproot them and move away without an extremely good reason.

    Playing in one of the most competitive leagues in world football, being at the centre of a rebuilding project and with a vociferous set of supporters backing him in every game should take care of the sporting side of things.

    On the pitch another relationship is developing, that of Suarez and his new strike partner, Daniel Sturridge.

    It didn't happen for a variety of reasons with Suarez and Andy Carroll, but Liverpool's new "S&S" partnership is already showing evidence that it can be a great one.

    Liverpool fans are looking forward to seeing what more it can produce over the coming months, while both players also appear to be working hard at developing it.

The Brendan Rodgers Revival: How Long Will Luis Give It?

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    Steven Gerrard spoke recently on Sky Sports' Goals on Sunday programme about Luis Suarez and how Liverpool needed Champions League football to keep him at the club—and attract further talents.

    As per Goal.com, Gerrard acknowledged there was no reason to think the forward would be off any time soon—but that, as one of the game's top players, he "deserved" Champions League football.

    Only he [Suarez] knows what his ambitions and dreams are but he's gone on record recently saying he's really happy and comfortable here. 

    Hopefully we can put a fight on from now until the end of the season to finish fourth and we make the decision for him but Luis Suarez deserves to be in the Champions League, I think everyone has to admit that.

    Rodgers has made Suarez key to his rebuilding plans and the form of the forward, and that of the team over the past two months, shows that the club are headed the right way—but they must arrive to their first objective of a top four place quickly.

    Suarez will, or should, give Liverpool another season.

    By the end of 2013-14 campaign he will be 27 years of age, right in the prime of his career, and it will be completely understandable that at that point, if Liverpool still aren't competing in the Champions League and aiming for major prizes, that he might want to try his luck elsewhere.

    It might also be the case that certain others are looking for new clubs, either from the playing or coaching staff.

    But for now the Reds are headed in the right direction, are only a couple of wins off a top four place in the Premier League—and if they recruit cleverly in the next transfer window, have a great chance of ending next season, if not this, in a Champions League place.

    That might be enough to convince Suarez to stay beyond 2014—but there is no reason to think he will be on his way in the next six or seven months.